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41% Positive

Analyzed from 2971 words in the discussion.

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#more#tokens#token#money#code#actually#https#company#spending#run

Discussion (76 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews

Arodex•about 1 hour ago
>Corporate leaders are starting to question whether soaring AI spending is delivering meaningful returns.

We should start to question whether soaring CEO salary spending is delivering meaningful results.

utopiah•38 minutes ago
Ah, that's not how it works : CEOs are rich so they are successful. They are successful so they are rich. Q.E.D.
hatefulheart•24 minutes ago
Maybe in your fantasy world.

In reality people are rarely rich based on merit alone.

EDIT: Sorry it was a really clever joke.

yulker•22 minutes ago
It's sarcasm, obviously.
spacechild1•23 minutes ago
I think you missed the joke.
gchamonlive•35 minutes ago
We are since at least the 2000s when the world wide web revolution finally made it possible for Google, Apple, Amazon etc... to become the behemoths they are. And maybe even before that.

And the answer is no, because when chief officers succeed it's because of their genius and forward thinking posture, but when they fail it's none of their fault, so they are shielded in an echo chamber that produces such delusions and psychosis.

stockresearcher•26 minutes ago
We use GH Copilot at work and this week sat for a presentation by GH about optimizing token usage and maximizing ROI on tokens used. Anyone else get this presentation? They didn’t have time for questions because they had to run and give it to the next big enterprise on their list…

They basically said that everything is too expensive, you have to watch it like a hawk. It was as if they poured a bucket of cold water on the room. People were wondering how they could do anything faster with all these strategies. And then “sorry no questions. Bye!”

Esophagus4•15 minutes ago
Did you have any good tips for optimizing usage?

The ones I’ve stumbled upon seem to be: switch models based on task complexity, use tooling like ASTs and compression, disable unused MCPs, compact often, be verbose with input to give clear guidance…

tasuki•3 minutes ago
> They didn’t have time for questions because they had to run and give it to the next big enterprise on their list…

This is such bullshit. Surely they could have recorded the shared part of the presentation and then spend all their time answering the questions?

karmakurtisaani•23 minutes ago
We did not have any presentation yet, but the first serious discussion about the cost of tokens has started on the documentation level. Looking forward to seeing these presentations!
spaceman_2020•13 minutes ago
Just hire people and pay then a fair wage and let everyone get richer together ffs

When did American capitalism become such a zero sum game

imglorp•35 minutes ago
This is an important inflection point.

When tokens get correctly priced, all of the insane over-investment in capital will need to draw back: buying data centers, semiconductors, and politicians.

Even then, it won't be right-priced with regard to actual costs. The environmental impact should have been priced in from the beginning. There seems to be a parallel with subsidizing fossil fuels, under pricing them which encourages over dependence, ignoring the real costs society will pay later.

somenameforme•11 minutes ago
I've yet to see any compelling data about inference being particularly expensive. For local LLM models, that are becoming increasingly viable, it's dirt cheap. The same is also true in image gen world where now even a heavily dated GPU can cheaply and quickly produce high quality images.

I also think the image gen world is a useful analog because there are a million sites, presumably still making money, with markups that are multiple orders of magnitude off their costs. They're feeding off user ignorance that was, at least in part, artificially seeded by implying high costs for image gen back in its day. Though it's possible/probable that the initial training runs were expensive, but that's a one-and-done cost.

whazor•24 minutes ago
It rather looks like chatgpt/antrophic enterprise tokens and API calls are too expensive. Competition is quite strong on openrouter.

However, the real problem is running wild with token burning. With parallel agents calling subagents you can burn lots of tokens per minute. Especially with thousands of engineers.

andai•less than a minute ago
These two paragraphs were paywalled for me.

https://archive.ph/crTG8

CuriouslyC•about 1 hour ago
This is almost entirely on Anthropic and the stupid C suite people trying to push TokenMaxxing. GPT5.5 is much more token efficient, other models are much cheaper, and if used in moderation rather than than trying to get everyone to OpenClaw 24/7 with token leaderboards, it's much more economical.

Also ironically, a lot of GenZ and young Millenials who were already bitter at their employers have used the tokenmaxxing push to sabotage the AI rollouts by burning tokens on stupid shit. It seems to be working.

SupLockDef•about 1 hour ago
Are you saying that making a leaderboard of who is spending the most is going to be expensive?

They couldn't see that coming, but for sure they can predict how the future will be when it's time to sell their "visions" of the world.

Meanwhile, sheep's are going to believe and max their token usage with their own wallet. "You are so be left behind if you're not".

It's a mass psychosis. The only winners here are the hardware manufacturers, like nvidia for instance.

kombookcha•about 1 hour ago
The other day I had to read a C-suite guy share how he had an epiphany that spending more tokens did not linearly align with more useful features being output by the teams. He was describing it as this breakthrough moment for him, as if it wasn't glaringly obvious that making the KPI "spend more tokens" would result in inefficient token spending, not massive value for the customer.

It's baffling how these people have entirely shut their ears to all the obvious warnings about this, and are now congratulating themselves for their slightly less psychotic outlook and pivoting to blaming the workers for inefficient usage, after specifically forcing them to tokenmaxx.

Arodex•about 1 hour ago
>It's baffling how these people have entirely shut their ears to all the obvious warnings about this, and are now congratulating themselves for their slightly less psychotic outlook and pivoting to blaming the workers for inefficient usage, after specifically forcing them to tokenmaxx.

It's not baffling. They are a caste, wholly insulated from the consequences of their own actions.

Almost every company is run in a basic dictatorial way. We almost never discuss it, when there is a wide corpus of political Science analysing the pros and cons of governance models that certainly puts it at the bottom.

cautiouscat•6 minutes ago
I think this is the part that kills me. This is what many grunts, including myself said from the start. More PRs and more code does not equal value for the customer.
treis•8 minutes ago
This entire narrative is just made up. Managers know not to reward spending. At best you had some tracking to see who was using it and encouragement for those that aren't to start.
cluckindan•about 1 hour ago
You get what you measure.
qsort•about 1 hour ago
I'm with you that people are insanely hyped about Claude Code in particular when e.g. Codex isn't far behind (and with recent models I actually prefer it).

But I'm going to need a citation for this:

> a lot of GenZ and young Millenials who were already bitter at their employers have used the tokenmaxxing push to sabotage the AI

The 3 people on reddit doing this don't even register on a company budget. What seems more plausible to me is that budgets were calibrated to spending before agents were actually useful, and late '25/early '26 changed the pattern significantly.

CuriouslyC•33 minutes ago
Codex is actually significantly better than Claude Code now, assuming you have a clear idea of what you want to do and how. Claude's secret sauce is that it'll run off and do stuff that's mostly right without a lot of prompting, but that also makes it willful/disobedient and causes it to be bad for "finishing" work, since it'll circle around your objective in an opinionated way.

https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/nearly...

throwatdem12311•about 1 hour ago
I’m an “old millenial” and the excessive burning of tokens will continue until working conditions improve.
voidfunc•about 1 hour ago
Working conditions are fine, I simply am not incentivized to be efficient with tokens.
throwatdem12311•about 1 hour ago
Yeah, everything is fine until you don’t want to use AI for something because it sucks at that task and then you end up on a PiP because your token burn is low. Why the f*ck are AI Token Use Leaderboards even a thing.

Features that used to take months are now expected in days. Oh you didn’t merge 40 pull requests and deploy to prod 15 times today? Aren’t you using Opus the greatest thing since the invention of the wheel?! What do you mean it’s hard to review 100 merge requests per day? Just have Claude review it! That’s a PiP.

Oh prod is down because people keep deploying code that nobody even freakin’ read? Just have Claude fix it! What do you mean it’s doesn’t work well? Just burn more tokens or you’re on a PiP.

Surely there wouldn’t be malicious compliance by people that would prefer to use the right tool for the job instead of having this crap shoved down our throats by management by threat of termination.

6stringmerc•about 1 hour ago
Counterpoint: based on a lot of anecdotes here, the most likely people to burn tokens aren’t GenZ but managers using ChatGPT to respond to questions or otherwise as an outsourcing of their job. There aren’t enough GenZ in the workforce to back your claim in my opinion.

Token efficiency where instead of the AI burning money at 1:3 instead of 1:5 isn’t quite a winning argument.

fullshark•about 1 hour ago
There's no way managers using LLMs to answer emails are burning tokens at a comparable rate to someone trying to utilize inference in production systems is.
groestl•9 minutes ago
Maybe managers going back to coding.
CuriouslyC•about 1 hour ago
There's the cost to do productive work, and the proportion of work which is actually productive.

GPT5.5 medium is ~20% the cost of Opus and 27% the cost of Sonnet on a task by task basis. That's a material difference.

kleiba2•about 1 hour ago
Citation needed.
mayhemducks•about 1 hour ago
Excessive token burning as a tactic to annoy your employer probably does the opposite - it probably makes your employer money.

The more tokens you burn, the more demand for hardware there will be. More demand for hardware means higher stock prices -> more money in your employer's pocket.

The only question is how long that can last. If taken to an extreme, the output of the AI will get worse over time, and if it gets bad enough, for long enough, people will use it less and less, and demand will slowly evaporate.

My point is NOT: I hope this all comes crashing down.

My point IS: tokenmaxing is bad. AND weaponizing it will not have the intended effect, but in fact, it will, in the short term, do the opposite.

customguy•about 1 hour ago
> The more tokens you burn, the more demand for hardware there will be. More demand for hardware means higher stock prices -> more money in your employer's pocket.

If you work for NVIDIA, sure, but otherwise, this makes no sense to me.

mayhemducks•16 minutes ago
I'm guessing you aren't invested in any of these stocks. I'm also guessing, to take the perspective of a tokenamxxing GenZ employee, that their bosses are.
Balinares•about 1 hour ago
Overheard recently: "Thanks to AI we're producing more code and more MRs, faster than ever, but the milestones aren't getting hit any sooner. Actually the opposite, if anything."

I wonder how widespread that phenomenon is. Perhaps it's no wonder the prominent actors are trying to rush to IPO...

mapontosevenths•24 minutes ago
Goodharts law. The metrics were always measuring the wrong thing, and now that we've finally optimized for the wrong thing successfully management will be forced to admit it and move on to another, slightly different, metric that doesn't actually equate to shareholder value.

It doesn't matter what the line actually measures, just that it goes up.

spjt•11 minutes ago
I wish I could do the same thing. Coworkers would be allowed to ask me X number of questions per month, and once they hit that limit I get the rest of the month off.
sigmar•4 minutes ago
lol. Solid idea. Going to add an email signature with "Emailing me is billed at the following rates: $20k/M token input, $100k/M token output"
Arodex•about 1 hour ago
Just a week ago, Anthropic barely breaking even was hailed as AI companies being close to profitability much earlier than forecast.

In fact it is all smoke and mirrors, pure mania from C-level executives out of their depth trying to one-up each other with company money, and they aren't even close.

alextillman•9 minutes ago
This is because the current AI approach relies on AI to be a glorified search engine – know everything about everything requiring enormous, ever growing models, and demanding search-engine like near instant responses requiring bigger more complex chips and sprawling data centers to run them in. This leads to a loop demanding ever bigger models, updated at a more and more expensive cost, and chipsets that become much more expensive to deploy.

If you move those things to software and utilize tools that are cheap at scale (databases, web search etc.) the hardware arms race ends and the price becomes sustainable. With the right tools preparing dynamic context for a conversation, models are used for their reasoning and not for their knowledge. And waiting even a minute or two for a model to prepare a response, evaluate it, and iterate to improve quality makes a huge difference.

stego-tech•1 minute ago
The AI fever pitch has done a great job at exposing which companies were run with a degree of sanity, versus who bought blindly into the hype train narrative of worker replacement and went all-in.

Look, LLMs thrive when they’re given structured data that’s well annotated, clear direction, and treated as the probabilistic machines they are. Not one of those meshes with the AI narrative of “works on existing stuff, requires minimal guidance, and can behave deterministically.”

I said as much in 2024 when my employer at the time was grading folks on AI usage while my role was entirely deterministic in nature. It didn’t resonate with specific leadership then, it doesn’t seem to be doing so in the larger market now, and unfortunately not one of these dolts will suffer any consequences for their organizational myopia.

ecshafer•41 minutes ago
>Corporate leaders are starting to question whether soaring AI spending is delivering meaningful returns.

This isn't surprising. Ive recently run into quite a few rabbit holes where AI is bad enough that its much more efficient to do it myself. I wanted to refactor some code, gave it a design pattern to go towards, some specific classes and methods, etc. making it a well described problem. AI just couldn't do it satisfactorily. The code was ugly, overly verbose, and after multiple tries with multiple prompts saying to keep things simple. They still would introduce new classes, useless fields, etc.

chrisweekly•19 minutes ago
"AI" is "bad" and "just couldn't do it"? Specifics w model and harness would lend more credence.
ecshafer•6 minutes ago
This was GPT 5.5 and codex. The specific model and harness isn't that important here. AI could do it. But the issue seems to be that there are some tasks where AI kind of falls over and provides poor results. It was easier, better, and faster for me to just do it myself. I have found a lot of cases where AI is great. If you have a UML diagram already, or translating code from language x to y, fixing unit test failures, generating boiler plate. But I can definitely see if people are using large amounts of AI for writing code, analyzing code, etc. that they are not actually seeing returns.
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1vuio0pswjnm7•8 minutes ago
"“It’s a real dollar investment,” says Tan, speaking for Claudeholics who go full blast. “You actually have to spend six to seven figures on tokens—I’m on a run rate to do seven figures this year.”"

https://www.wired.com/story/how-ai-agents-plunged-tech-world...

TSiege•18 minutes ago
I really can't tell what is going on with AI these days. I hear AI labs claiming theyre profitable or close to it. I hear companies say they're dubious the juice is worth the squeeze. I've seen anecdotal claims of a measurable increase in productivity of 2x in PRs created and merged coming in at cost 20% of engineering employee budget. Others say they're still getting no value (which I doubt). Simon Willison's recent post went into debunking the AI sticker shock claims somewhat. Either way this seesawing between new golden era and the greatest VC money furnace is becoming exhausting.

I'd like to see real numbers at this point, and this article is just a few bullet points that link to other articles. Talk is far cheaper than tokens and I'd like to have a workflow that I can rely on being there in six months.

https://simonwillison.net/2026/May/27/product-market-fit/#th...

swader999•about 1 hour ago
"An AI consultant tells Axios one of their clients recently spent half a billion dollars in a single month after failing to put usage limits on Claude licenses for employees." Like physically, how could this even happen?
pjc50•about 1 hour ago
Agents. An agent is a system for spinning up processes that use tokens, talking to other processes that use tokens.

I wonder how many megawatts that waste represented. Just one guy, worse than a small air force of private jets.

layer8•43 minutes ago
This could happen with a large number of integrations or agent swarms working 24/7 with high throughput and long contexts.
ludicrousdispla•34 minutes ago
Maybe the AI consultant gets a cut of that half billion?
spacechild1•15 minutes ago
Let's not forget about the environmental impacts. It's crazy that people are willfully burning so much energy for almost no return. And we thought bitcoin was bad... This is just completely irresponsible, if not sociopathic behavior.
lelanthran•about 1 hour ago
I am Jack's total lack of surprise :-/
dylan604•7 minutes ago
How much longer before we get to the “I get cancer. I kill Jack” stage? Isn’t uncontrolled growth a sign of cancer? Or is it more virus like where it just continues to grow without ever reaching a balance with its surroundings?
spaceman_2020•15 minutes ago
I’m also detecting a vibe shift in AI content

The mood has gone quickly from “this is cool” to “screw AI and any business that wants to use it”

This is particularly clear among the taste making class

internet_points•31 minutes ago
Spide_r•about 1 hour ago
autoexec•about 1 hour ago
Just wait until companies are dependent on on it. When their employees can't think without it. When their AI generated codebase is such a mess they'd need a rewrite to understand it without AI. When they've got AI embedded in all their internal processes and tools. Then massive price hikes will come because they've been bent over a barrel and they'll have no alternative that isn't at least as painful in the short-term as letting the AI company fuck them. The long term won't matter then because any company capable of seeing past the short term wouldn't let themselves get into that position in the first place.
cynicalsecurity•about 1 hour ago
> Instead, they should focus on using AI to drive revenue.

There is a complete disconnect between wages of employees and company's revenue => Why aren't employees working towards revenue? What a mystery. Children, let's help Elmo solve this mystery.

And then random mass layoffs to make numbers for shareholders look great in quarterly reports. Surely this motivates people work to their fullest potential and to care for company's revenue.

mapontosevenths•35 minutes ago
I found this claim interesting so I looked into it. Everything I can find shows that the intuition is accurate.

Companies with EOSP programs outperform those that do not in the market by about 17%.[0] Companies that perform layoffs, despite short-term stock boosts, underperform on a period of years showing a 14% decline in their Return on Assets (ROA) in the years following the layoffs.[1]

[0] https://www.nceo.org/employee-ownership-blog/new-study-shows... [1] https://www.researchgate.net/publication/277473996_Financial...

roxolotl•about 1 hour ago
Even better there’s a complete disconnect between revenues and metrics we use to measure productivity. Corporate wants to believe there’s numbers you can use to measure knowledge workers like widget makers where there’s really not much that’s effective beyond revenue.
mystraline•about 1 hour ago
Well, if AI has a massive sticker shock attributed, so we should target the high value roles and should save money, right?

So im looking at CEO, CTO, CFO, and all the chief-something-officer. If LLMs are that totally amazing at thinking, then we should be targeting upper management, not the workers.

That would save a LOT of money for the shareholders! /snark

We all know why they wont.

59percentmore•29 minutes ago
So it goes. Wage theft dwarfs the amount lost to street-level theft, robbery, burglary, etc., combined. The economic stimulus from correcting even a portion of annual wage theft would represent complete coverage of those violent thefts - economically-speaking, there would be no reason for criminals to carry them out. Why rob a gas station to get your drug money? Everyone around you is making enough extra at work that bumming a dollar here and there covers it. That sort of thing.

But good forbid we actually correct a major social ill at the expense of the people who profit from it.

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cmiles8•about 1 hour ago
Playing out in company after company right now:

CEOs: “Get me some of that GenAI”

CTO: “OK, we have all the GenAI”

CEOs: “Employees, it’s AI or bust”

Employees: Tokenmax

CFO: “Um, this is costing a ton and we’re not seeing savings or efficiency materialize.”

CEO: “Are we getting any value out of this?”

COO: “Not really, and frankly I’m getting annoyed at all the AI slop turning up all over.”

CEO: “OK, well, let’s do a big layoff and then I’ll just say it was because of AI. Hopefully folks won’t blame me for the mess and I’ll just talk about how amazing AI is.”

utopiah•34 minutes ago
> Hopefully folks won’t blame me for the mess

Lesson #1 from business school : take all credits, put the blame on others, if there no easy scapegoat blame the "economical context"

Lesson #2 and beyond : just see lesson #1, it's enough. You've made it and it's ALL thanks to this amazing business school degree you got, now go profits with your new already wealthy peers.

randusername•12 minutes ago
I have a literal ledger tracking the number of times executives have used the phrase "evolving capital markets"

It's amazing to me how subtle the difference can be between a business leader that seems to know what they're doing and one that clearly does not. Same words, even, but from one mouth it's compressing a complex thought and from another it's word salad to give the appearance of complex thought.

utopiah•4 minutes ago
Regurgitating word salad coming from Harvard Business Review or whatever publication is trendy at the moment.

Indeed the "worst" part is that the initial concept might very well make sense, even be grounded in actual research.

Masters of semblance.