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#models#model#cost#flash#more#https#claude#deepseek#per#frontier

Discussion (82 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews

ford•about 2 hours ago
You're better off going directly to artificial analysis, this is a feature-poor/misleading/outdated repackaging

Ex. this type of price estimation is quite naive - some models can require 2-3x the number of tokens to achieve the same level of intelligence. Artificial Analysis' own cost per task is a more fair estimation of cost.

neuronexmachina•43 minutes ago
It's kind of crazy that claude-opus-5.5 (max) uses 119k tokens per "intelligence index task" while gpt-6-astra (max) uses 27k.

https://artificialanalysis.ai/models?cost=intelligence-vs-co...

mpalczewski•12 minutes ago
The analysis might be better on Artifical Analysis' however the way the information is presented by terrydjony is so much better. I'm able to get the exact actionable info I want. Whereas on artificial Analysis I'm analyzing and figuring it out.

It's the equivalent of ai slop writing in a data format.

Xeoncross•about 2 hours ago
If you have a 24-64GB mac, consider running Qwen3.8 27B locally at night. It's a bit slower to run locally, but if you're sleeping it's less of a problem.

Depending on your memory, you'll need to use the weaker Q4 versions but they still perform well.

It ranks higher than GPT-5.3 Codex (xhigh) or Claude Opus 4.6 (max) so is great for pairing with https://github.com/kunchenguid/gnhf for nightly experimentation, cleanup, or recommendation lists for in the morning.

vardalab•11 minutes ago
I have all sorts of local compute, and local models fairly capable the Frontier models still way more capable/faster and local electricity consumption is something else. Good thing it is getting colder around here.

I often pair them up, and I have an Astra or Sol work as a supervisor and reviewer while Qwen 27B FP8 or Qwen 3.8 Flash Next implements things. I mostly do it as an experiment, just to see what kind of level of autonomy I can get, and they are slow to getting a decent reviewed outcome despite Qwen27B running at 100+ tps and 3.5-4K prefill rates and Qwen3.8 Next at 40 tps and 1-2K prefill. I've been also using similar approach more with OMP, not just the straight Pi harness. And OMP seems to be slower because it has more guardrails. OMP has an interesting feature where you can assign a better LLM as an advisor, wehere it just sort of monitors the progress and injects guidance. And it definitely helps, but one has to be careful. It actually turns out to be expensive if the cache reads are expensive. I learned it the hard way. Where on Fireworks' API, the cache rates for GLM 5.3 flash are quite a bit more expensive than for DeepSeek, and a simple runs ended up costing me three bucks in oversight. So a better way is to have a Frontier model running a separate tmux pane and just directing it to Wake up every 10 minutes, take a peek at what's going on, review the milestones give feedback and then sleep. This turns out to be pretty decent cost saving strategy when quote needs to be stretched. Paradoxically, OpenAI tightening up their quota allowance once they released Astra actually pushed me into all these sorts of experiments, and it's actually been interesting. I've been exploring all these smaller flash models, and it's been nice. I do like using local LLMs for chore type tasks that are just mostly information gathering, post-session reviews, stuff like that.

jszymborski•35 minutes ago
It's _so_ good, I no longer bother with Sonnet and use it locally for everything.

Consider bumping reasoning down to Medium as a default though, I agree with simonw it over thinks https://simonwillison.net/2026/Aug/16/qwen-38-27b/

ctkhn•about 2 hours ago
On my 64gb m3 max qwen3.8 27b has been great for planning and then letting qwen3.6 35ba3b actually implement the planned changes.
RationPhantoms•30 minutes ago
If you're on MacOS, with atleast an M3 chip and 32GB, you should look at the splash engine.

GNHF seems exactly what I've been aiming for to handle overnight tasks.

ghilston•41 minutes ago
What would you personally recommend for those that have 128 GB?
ranger_danger•about 1 hour ago
You might be interested in https://prismml.com/news/bonsai-2-27b
kolbebe•about 1 hour ago
This looked exciting until I read that it gets stuck in loops and generally wasn't a useful model
ranger_danger•15 minutes ago
Please cite a reputable source for this claim, and keep in mind we are talking about Bonsai 2 and not the original Bonsai.

Even on the original one, the authors have replied to such issues with working solutions: https://github.com/PrismML-Eng/Bonsai-demo/issues/131

joking•42 minutes ago
for 32gb, this is my model of reference now, you have to run it with a patched version of llama and is still not available in lmstudio or omlx, waiting for that to streamline the experience a bit. But so far, the best i had till now.
ranger_danger•14 minutes ago
It looks like upstream work is underway: https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/issues/29058

The sheer number of geniuses working so fast on this repo never ceases to amaze me.

greggh•about 1 hour ago
I've been running a quant/tune of Qwen3.8 27B on my M1 Max 32gb MacBook. That plus a good pi setup is having great results. I've used a full q8 of the model before and I dont see a real difference other than how slow it is. But leaving it running overnight on tasks is working great. It is currently debugging some issues in a native Mac Swift application and getting through the list of issues just fine.

This is the one that works good for me on 32gb:

https://huggingface.co/ISTA-DASLab/Qwen3.8-27B-GSQ-RCO-GGUF

Specifically this one: Qwen3.8-27B-GSQ-RCO-IQ3_S-mtp.gguf

bwfan123•42 minutes ago
I am running it on M3 pro. Works great except for prefill speed which makes it slow for many coding tasks. The newer generation of macs are promising but as a cost-sensitive user, I am also looking into cheaper 32 GB gpus from intel, AMD, nvidia. Eventually, I think these class of models will work well for most coding usecases especially given that I certainly want to have some control of the code generated.
Brendinooo•about 2 hours ago
I'd really like something that's more oriented around subscription fees.

If I want to spend $100 on LLMs next month, what should I do? Get Claude because Opus 5.5/Fable 5.1 are scoring well? Get Grok because 4.7 is supposedly a good mix of competence and cost? Try out a Chinese model? Don't do a subscription at all like this site is saying?

king_crimson•about 1 hour ago
Or get a 20$ subscription from each major provider and have 40$ spare for openrouter credits. That’s what I’m doing.
danesparza•about 1 hour ago
The problem is that subscriptions with AI models get a bit 'vague' on what you get and how (or when) you might be rate-limited.
jeffbee•3 minutes ago
When a clanker is slopping up a webpage, why does it have to be #f4f3ee? Curious.
swingboy•19 minutes ago
I guess it’s hard to actually calculate, but most people are probably on subscription plans with Anthropic or OpenAI and there’s not any good resources to estimate which models are the most “usage limit” efficient. I suppose you can sort of correlate raw API costs with how much usage a model would probably drain, but it would be nice if there was a reliable place to get that info.
jrflo•about 2 hours ago
Does anyone actually pay API costs out of their own pocket? It's about 10x cheaper to just get a codex or chat gpt subscription, it's so heavily subsidized compared to the API that I'm sure it would be cheaper to use frontier models on a subscription plan rather than paying API prices for deepseek flash.
lowercased•about 2 hours ago
I do. For local dev work, I'm mostly using jetbrains' Junie, I can swap between a collection of models from google, openai, anthrophic.

I've had more than a few people tell me "oh, it's so much cheaper to use a $20 claude account" or "i've never hit a limit ever using my openai". Inevitably.. I end up reading/hearing "oh, I need to give it another couple hours to start using it again"... I've never hit that with my approach, even if it's costing me a bit more. Being able to work when I want when I have time has some value.

I also have openai and anthropic direct API billing set up for hosted and client projects that need to call out to an LLM service.

WaltPurvis•17 minutes ago
>it's costing me a bit more

Would you mind sharing how much it's costing you? I've been wanting to use APIs from within Intellij, but I hesitate because of uncertainty about the cost.

jrflo•about 2 hours ago
Why not use a codex or claude subscription? If you use the entire usage allotment on the $200 plan it's about $2,000 in equivalent API costs. Switching providers may be valuable but it's quite literally an order of magnitude cheaper.
the__alchemist•about 2 hours ago
I thought Air was JB's multi-model interface? What is Junie? (I see the buttons, but am very confused by JB's AI offerings in general)

Is it worth the ~10x extra cost over the subscriptions? (This is obviously a leading question). Also, I think you can use OpenAI's subcription login with Air, but not Claude's.

handzhiev•about 2 hours ago
I do. Sharing training data with OpenAI gives me a lot of complementary tokens. I go above that but it's still quite economical and I pick the right model for the task (Luna for most).
akmarinov•about 1 hour ago
I pay $100 for Codex and it last about a day in the weekly limit - mostly Astra and Sol.

Then i got $20 into DeepSeek and i've been using those $20 for two weeks every day now. Use case is automating computer/browser use - Astra is really good at it, but very expensive, Sol and Luna haven't been that great at it, Deepseek as at about 80% of Astra but lasts forever.

Firaxus•42 minutes ago
Curious to hear more details about your harness and setup if you’re open to sharing.
mmmattt•about 2 hours ago
I do, 3-4$ a month of deep seek is enough for my usage
szszrk•about 1 hour ago
I do, but via OpenRouter. Outside of work my use cases are small and cheaper models do great job at those. I noticed even if I "burn tokens like crazy" I still pay less than any subscription available (a few $ a month).

But I guess if I had an agent vibecoding on it's own, I'd go with subscription instantly.

LeBit•about 2 hours ago
I use local LLMs on my Mac Mini.

Otherwise DeepSeek Flash 4.1 is dirt cheap (other "Flash" models are not that expensive either). I pay (very few dollars) out of my own pocket.

There are many things where having an API Key is necessary.

Maybe I’ve missed the boat though: is there now a method to use an api key to access a subscription?

jrflo•about 2 hours ago
You can't use an API key on subscriptions, but I've gotten around it using the `codex exec` command to run requests outside the CLI or GUI if you're already authenticated on that machine. Won't work for all cases, but I've never ran into a limitation in my use case of not having an API key.
mandeepj•about 1 hour ago
> I use local LLMs on my Mac Mini.

which ones do you use?

h46u5jytyhtg•about 2 hours ago
Large enterprises pay per token even through a ChatGPT “membership”, for example.
jrflo•about 2 hours ago
Which is why I said "out of their own pocket"
seki285•about 1 hour ago
>heavily subsidized

Do you think this will be a problem in the future?

khalic•about 1 hour ago
More benchmark noise. They’re already problematic per se, and the error bars only get bigger by aggregating and adding costs on top of it.

Create your own, private evaluation system that reflects your use and your constraints. Focus on hard cases you encountered, find cases that break on one tier and not on another.

krmmalik•about 1 hour ago
Exactly, according to these benchmarks Gemini 3.8 Flash is the best option at that budget level for coding, but in real world testing, I found DeepSeek flash to perform far better at a much lower price.
Firaxus•about 1 hour ago
I don’t think they have 4.1 flash in the graph, fwiw
floppyd•about 2 hours ago
As the time goes on it only becomes harder to differentiate between model capabilities with just one or two numbers. I would love to see some kind of multi-axis placement of all the models on less objective attributes, like wordiness, willingness to give up, an ability to "think ahead" and pre-solve possible problems in code, for example, that I didn't think of or didn't think of talking about, etc etc etc.

For example I've been really enjoying Deepseek v4.1 Flash, it's very "straightforward" to the point of being almost dumb sometimes, but it's absolutely relentless and would solve almost any problem no matter how inefficient the solution is.

No idea how to measure all that, just average CoT length per task is probably a good approximation for some things, but not others.

rmi_•about 1 hour ago
I wrote (i.e. let AI write) something like this for Opencode Go: https://6bj.de/aaogo/go_value_report.html

It compares Artificial Analysis scores against usage limits on Opencode Go, so I can see where to waste my quota most efficiently. Updated whenever I feel like it.

Tepix•about 2 hours ago
1. In real life, most of us use token packages like OpenCode Go etc.

It would be handy to have a site like this one that takes into account the various deals and attempts to calculate the number of tokens per monthly fee for a chosen model. I realize this makes the task a lot more difficult.

2. It would be handy to have a chart like that for the AI hardware that people own. It helps you decide which model to run (resulting in different levels of intelligence and speed). Also difficult to please everyone (preprocessing vs token generation for example) and to keep updated!

I found https://llm-list.com/ yesterday and when I had a detailed look, I quickly found outdated entries, for example looking at GLM 5.3 flash it listed several providers as "free" that weren't free any longer.

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yu3zhou4•10 minutes ago
I’d love this but for every hardware
qwerty2020•about 2 hours ago
Cost per token is an extremely naive way to index cost, renders this chart essentially meaningless.
jwolfe•about 2 hours ago
This definition of cost is not particularly useful. You want cost per task, not cost per 1m tokens. Artificial Analysis does a good job of this.
pelagicAustral•about 2 hours ago
Is there a cheaper model than Gemini 3.8 Flash (High) that maybe/kind-of is on-par with it? For me it works really good but hit the limit in two hours tops... last week was the first time I hit the weekly limit and had to wait 4 days... Claude patches OK, but that is also getting drained really fast these days...
montroser•about 2 hours ago
DeepSeek 4.1 Flash is your answer.
pelagicAustral•about 2 hours ago
Ah OK, yeah, I was actually going to go for that earlier, I'll check it out once I get home, thanks!
TomGarden•about 2 hours ago
is this on the $20-ish sub? I hear ultra lasts for a very long time
pelagicAustral•about 2 hours ago
Yeah, 20... I was going to try Deepseek later on, just chuck 20 in there and see how good it does, and how far I can go as well...
TomGarden•about 2 hours ago
yeah I enjoy the speed of Gemini, but I also just have the low tier one (I use the 20x Claude and Codex subs for most of my work). For iteration, Gemini is so much fun, but Opus 5.5 is quite fast, as is sol. If you're on a budget, deepseek does look great
ggcr•about 1 hour ago
What's impeding a lab from releasing its own new model, pricing it really low for the beautiful Pareto plot, accompanied by phrases VC love like "establishing a new frontier in cost", to just then raise prices back up?
mlmonkey•about 1 hour ago
They don't even have to "raise the prices back up". They just need to ensure that the number of output tokens goes up needlessly. Just make the model more talkative (via RL?) and cha-ching!
ggcr•about 1 hour ago
Oh yeah totally, good point. I remember there was controversy around Claude tokenizer generating more tokens lol
newsy-combi•about 2 hours ago
Coding and math graphs are very interesting. Extremely cheap models make it into the upper echelon, delivering 90% of the performance for 1% of the price compared to the #1.
real0mar•about 1 hour ago
Updated daily and yet the frontier for math is listed as gpt-5.2
barrystaes•about 1 hour ago
Fun, but this seems to assume all LLM run on SAAS subscriptions. I would like to compare this to local LLM costs by converting my usage load x hardware costs into a token price. In addition if it games the LLM so often, these eventually are optimized and basically cheat on the score.
lasky•about 1 hour ago
I won’t touch Meta models. I simply don’t trust or like Zuck and especially Wang
Tycho•about 1 hour ago
Interested to see the Coding and Math scores for Grok 4.7 when they’re available. Grok 4.6 is apparently already on the frontier for Coding.
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jeremysalwen•about 2 hours ago
It's missing Opus 5.5 which was released over a day ago (and also is clearly on the pareto frontier).
shakow•about 2 hours ago
Don't know if they updated it since your comment, but for me it's on the graph – and on the Pareto frontier indeed.
noumenon1111•about 2 hours ago
It was expert timing on the commenter's and the developer's part. Opus 5.5 still doesn't show under coding though.
npongratz•about 2 hours ago
Opus 5.5 is indeed on the Intelligence tab, but I don't see it on the Coding or Math tabs.
SJMG•about 2 hours ago
For intelligence only as of 8:51 MT
verytrivial•about 2 hours ago
I find it interesting that with the given metric comparison, for coding at min 50 strength, every frontier model brand is from a distinct vendor: Ling, Qwen, Gemini, Muse, Grok, GPT, and Claude in increasing value.
TomGarden•about 2 hours ago
If you maintain this over time, maybe include other sources than just AA and update the design to look less like zero-shot claude styling (I know that font! I know that color! Lol) it's genuinely useful :)
aslkalska•about 2 hours ago
all I ever wanted is an updated website where I can see the best models I can run on my different devices locally, I don't get why people are throwing money at these companies
Brendinooo•about 2 hours ago
Guessing that most people don't have machines powerful enough to run good-enough models locally.
radial_symmetry•about 2 hours ago
The coding and math tabs seem to be missing the latest models...
SkyBelow•about 2 hours ago
Math in particular is quite far behind. GPT 5.2 is recommended as the best for highest cost. Really?
FrostKiwi•about 1 hour ago
The page looks Claude generated and ranks Opus at the top.
someguynamedq•about 1 hour ago
Astra worse than 5.6 Sol is crazy work
hsnewman•about 2 hours ago
I'm sure that local LLM will be far cheaper
qwerpy•about 1 hour ago
Wouldn't be so sure, at least not for a GPU-based system. Quick math for a 5090 running at around 500W generating 100 tokens per second (reasonable for Qwen 3.8-27B) is around 2-3 kWh, which is around $0.60 for some mix of off/on peak electricity rates.

This is in the same ballpark for that same model on openrouter (https://openrouter.ai/qwen/qwen3.8-27b), highly dependent on input/output mix. Deepseek is a much more capable model that you can't run locally on normal hardware, and their rates are insanely cheap ($0.04 / $1 per 1M).

And so far I haven't considered the cost of the hardware. I happen to have a gaming PC that can be put to use on inference when not gaming, but given these numbers I don't think I would buy new hardware to do inference at home. Unless my math is wrong, it seems you're way better off paying for Deepseek than running Qwen or some other locally runnable model yourself. Of course if you have specific privacy requirements or prefer something unique about a particular model you can run locally, the equation changes.

mrngld•about 2 hours ago
Depends on what level of intelligence you're wanting to use. A vanishingly small number of people can or would want to go to the hardware expense of running something like GLM 5.3 Flash, much less something like K3.

And if you want Astra/Fable/Opus frontier level, then there's no option at all.

But if you don't need that, or you don't need speed... That opens up the discussion. I've been impressed even with how Siri's been doing with the Apple Foundation Models in MacOS/iOS 27 given how small they are.

Edit: I can't even fully spec the M5 Ultra Mac Studio you'd need for GLM5.3 Flash since 512GB isn't available yet, but it's already at $9500 for 256GB RAM.

anticorporate•about 1 hour ago
> A vanishingly small number of people can or would want to go to the hardware expense of running something like GLM 5.3 Flash, much less something like K3.

It's probably worth letting the user specify their actual costs in such a tool. I run a Framework Desktop 128GB that I bought before memory prices got crazy; the current retail price is almost double what I actually paid a year ago.

verytrivial•about 2 hours ago
Best comparison that has occurred to me is the cost a loaf of bread's ingredients might be slightly cheaper than a baked loaf, depending on how you source it. At home you get total control and know what's going in to it. Yet bake at home is still a niche, perhaps a hobby. So I say as someone who's spent hundreds of hours tinkering with local inference, go for it for anyone reading. But most people just want ... some slices of bread, you know?
7777777phil•about 1 hour ago
I tried to build a very similar “frontier” [1] for myself and also include writing (which is highly debatable)

[1] https://philippdubach.com/posts/jev-model-router-for-pi/

zephiel7•about 1 hour ago
Luna at the bottom of intelligence is laughable...
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