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Discussion (23 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews
I see way more crash compilations from Waymo than Tesla (despite having something like 300k FSD subscribers and over 1M permanent purchasers).
Sure LIDAR can fill like 5% of gaps, but let's not pretend it's the underlying AI model that does the grunt work. Which begs the question why Waymo hasn't scaled nationwide and why cybercab hasn't ramped up yet. Both aren't doing that amazing.
Waymos are in the exact opposite situation. They only run in busy cities so there are lots of bystanders to take a video of the situation, including the passenger, who has no incentive to hide the issue. Waymos can't revert to a driver in the car when things get tough; they call back to their monitoring center and come to a halt, which draws further attention and mockery.
You cannot assume that online algorithms are giving you a unbiased, neutral view of the world. They are specifically tuned against that.
Tesla stans will say "well, just because it doesn't visualize the train properly doesn't mean it doesn't know it's a train", but shit like this today just bolsters that that's garbage.
I still want to see how Tesla does in my town where there's a fun intersection, where four lanes coming west hit a T. Drivers can turn north or south, but there's only two lanes on the north south road, so there's a sequence where the left two lanes can turn north, or south, and then the right two lanes can do it (i.e. staggered so drivers in the left two lanes turning north don't hit drivers in the right two turning south, and also don't have to try to merge 4 lanes into 2 while turning).
I guarantee FSD would absolutely shit the bed (sorry, I mean, "disengage" to preserve Elon's stats, I mean "your safety") on this intersection.
It's not ready for primetime. And it's still not close.
Yeah Tesla is allergic to trains, a-la Hyperloop.
That being said, if I were first in line at a railroad crossing I think I’d disengage FSD to be safe. If I were in a Waymo I’d be very nervous. LiDAR or not, an error can be catastrophic.
The principal difference that comes to mind is that in the latter case it would be catastrophic to others as opposed to yourself: you are the train in that situation, except pedestrians have no airbags and without the railroad gate equivalent they are not made aware of taking this risk.