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Discussion (9 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews
Share of the maximum achievable score our GRPO-trained 9B open-source model reached on catalog review, vs 76.9% for the best frontier configuration: a 13.5% relative improvement over the frontier, and 36% over its own untrained base (64.2%). The five frontier models, even with optimized prompts, plateaued within a tenth of a point of each other; the trained specialist cleared that ceiling."
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This seems very unlikely to be true. I have a lot of skepticism that frontier models like GPT 5.5 that are likely 2T+ parameters in size only got about 12% more accurate than an untrained 9b parameter LLM.
We can see this already with GPT how luna can do 90% of what sol is used for. The only reason why china still bothers 'distilling' models is accurate training data generation, something that oai and anthropic had to spend years collecting while trying to dodge legal challenges.
The more intelligent models get, the more people will offramp to cheaper solutions that get the job done. There's no real benefit to using a sota model when the accuracy is already 99% and I think that is the biggest danger to US labs.
Anything else? Sure use a cheaper model.
And sometimes it's not about the model, it's just about refining the search space. E.g. I've had Opus write tests and GPT 5.5 write the implementation passing all the tests. Then ask about that specific implementation and find some real corner cases. Add those to tests, etc.
But the other fun trick that's been working better and better on the GPT-5.6 series is that even the lower-end models can find the things they didn't think of first when inspecting the already-written output.
I think there's still a bit of hard-to-quantify "creativity" to the bigger models - especially when trying to untangle (a) is this edge case that the model built a complicated way to avoid real/worth worrying about and also (b) even if it is real, is there not a better way to mitigate it? But it might be confirmation bias, in a way that definitely didn't use to be true about GPT-5.3 for planning and Composer 2 for implementation, say.
From the article it’s not clear how the scorer grades every episode - was it a frontier model that assigned the grade? How does that continue to work as the model that is being fine-tuned becomes better at the task than the frontier model?