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#batteries#battery#years#car#degradation#still#same#cars#age#calendar

Discussion (42 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews

PaulKeeble•about 3 hours ago
No manufacturer is testing the batteries life by just charging and discharging them daily for a decade before releasing them. Instead they are using artificial acceleration techniques like getting the battery hot while charging/discharging continuously to simulate a longer lifetime. They can't realistically do anything else to estimate it. But it turns out heat is the big enemy for li-ion batteries and if you can keep them on the cooler side of their range they will last a lot longer.
memoriyato3•27 minutes ago
we have EVs for almost 15 years now, one would imagine some real world data on battery life was collected already, even if not widely shared
raychis•about 1 hour ago
EV batteries may be lasting far longer than most buyers expected but are consumers really going to trust the data over the headlines? There has been such a propaganda attack on EVs that it will take a long time to overcome that.
Slothrop99•5 minutes ago
I'll just caution that new things are often over-built to some degree. Then "engineering" is often how much margin they can squeeze-out while still hitting their warrantee targets.

General Motors built an ignition switch for decades which worked mostly just fine. Then they built one so crappy that they killed a bunch of people. Only to save 25 cents or whatever.

EVs depend heavily on 'early adopter evangelism'. I wouldn't read too much into this.

rolfus•17 minutes ago
We had much of the same skepticism and anti-EV propaganda here in Norway a decade ago, when EV's started becoming popular. The usual claims was that the batteries would have to be replaced every five years, the cars would stop working in the winters, the batteries are fire hazards, the power grid won't support everyone buying EV's, etc.. All of which turned out to not be true.

Today the market share for EV's is 98% and they account for the majority of the total number of cars on the road! The people who bough 1st. generation EV's as a number two car a decade ago chose EV's as their main car before long. My own vehicles are 7 and 12 years old and holding up well, despite the 12 year old having inferior battery chemistry compared to modern cars.

Change isn't always easy or smooth, but this one is inevitable.

jwr•32 minutes ago
The black PR has been very effective. I own an EV and the first question I always get from non-EV people when they find out is "…but what about the range, isn't that a problem?", while the second one is invariably "but what about the battery, I heard it only lasts a year or two and it's so expensive to replace!".

The myths are now strong and it will indeed take a long time to dispel them.

memoriyato3•29 minutes ago
the propaganda works because we are all familiar with the smartphone battery degradation after 2 years, so it seems logical that same thing will happen with car batteries
JumpCrisscross•26 minutes ago
> we are all familiar with the smartphone battery degradation after 2 years

I haven’t experienced this for years.

beloch•40 minutes ago
If batteries are actually lasting, then it's easy to counter the propaganda. Manufacturers simply need to make sure batteries are replaceable and offer guarantees that they'll be replaced on the manufacturer's dime if they degrade.
VBprogrammer•15 minutes ago
That's easy to say when you aren't the one considering adding a huge liability to the companies bottom line.

There are also some elements of EV ownership where they require some TLC, like not overcharging them when doing mostly local journeys, not using rapid charging more than necessary etc. If manufacturers were carrying the can it would be easy to let these things go out of the window.

inglor_cz•41 minutes ago
In late 2022, I moved into a new semi-detached house in a small project of 33 such houses total. Back then, there was precisely 1 EV here, parked openly.

This has grown to 6 in the meantime. It seems that the segment was growing even before Hormuz, propaganda or no.

whatever1•about 2 hours ago
Wasn’t the same concern with the Toyota Prius when it was first released? Only for all the doubters to be proven wrong by the taxi drivers who kept beating Priuses for decades.

In any case battery failure seems rare but it still is catastrophic and nobody can afford replacement. Hence companies should just provide some sort of warranty / insurance product for the few unlucky folks. Seems like an ideal candidate.

Exoristos•about 2 hours ago
Those old taxi Priuses have had their batteries replaced.
duskwuff•about 1 hour ago
They were also using NiMH batteries - a completely different chemistry from modern lithium batteries.
bfjvibybd6cuvu6•about 1 hour ago
Lithium EV batteries are regularly serviced and repaired?
foreigner•about 2 hours ago
They do.
ZeroGravitas•about 1 hour ago
Generally enforced by regulation, particularly tied to any government grant program to encourage EV adoption.
NitpickLawyer•about 3 hours ago
Isn't this old news? I remember reading about 7yo teslas used exclusively in cold climates (Norway, Finland, etc) and they found the same thing: batteries held on much better than even the manufacturer expected. And those were often 1st gen cars, which you could expect to have teething issues.

It was at the time one of the main reasons the 2nd hand markets in those countries were pretty healthy and saw a lot of movement of used cars.

radicalbyte•35 minutes ago
Some of the early models - either the Chevvy or Nissan Leaf - had battery packs which would degrade very quickly. This was causes by the charging system which seemed designed to destroy them.

The expectation in the EV fan world was that modern (> 2019) battery packs were very likely to retain 80% of their charge for well over the time anyone expected with the drop to 80% itself taking most of the car's expected lifetime. This was because the standard extrapolations ignored improvements in charging algorithms and that real-world usages were expected to be better for the battery than the models.

Another prediction we made is that range under cold (or very hot) weather would be significantly reduced and that seems to be the case too.

cgyvbunji•about 3 hours ago
They still die by calendar age based degradation. High miles low years isn't interesting. We know that works well. They don't like talking about the calendar age degradation. Every article like this leaves that part out. It's annoying. Many articles have been written like this. Many more will be written yet. I guess there are still people out there who don't know that EVs are ideal for drivers who accumulate high miles per year. Personally I don't think batteries are going to get interesting until solid state batteries. The problem is the electrolyte.
bulbar•about 2 hours ago
Do you have more information regarding age based degradation? I haven't looked too deeply into the topic and I am not sure if the argument had been about pure age based degradation or about "after X years because a person will have driven Y kilometers since then".
small_model•about 2 hours ago
False

"A 2015 Model S with over 265,000 miles on the original battery (85% capacity remaining)"

InsideOutSanta•about 1 hour ago
My EV is also over ten years old and has no noticeable battery degradation. I'm sure there is some degradation that could be measured, but in daily driving, I have the same range I did the day I bought the car.
foxglacier•about 2 hours ago
That's 25000 miles per year, which is high. So the opposite of false.
defrost•about 2 hours ago
The comment above is (I would guess) about the eleven years of original battery usage rather than the mileage.

The implication being that runs counter to the claim of "calendar age degradation".

imtringued•about 1 hour ago
So according to you, the more you degrade the battery, the longer it lasts?

Usually you would think that 25000 miles per year over 11 years would degrade the battery faster than the car just sitting around for 11 years.

zipy124•37 minutes ago
If this is true it's interesting, as ICE cars typically prefer to be driven continuously at operating temperatures, rather than cold. This is why a high-mileage low-year car can actually have an engine in much better condition than low-mileage high year cars.
JumpCrisscross•about 3 hours ago
> They still die by calendar age based degradation

Source?

y1n0•about 2 hours ago
gnfargbl•36 minutes ago
That article says calendar ageing was the dominant ageing mechanism for batteries in their test vehicle, because said vehicle spent 96% of its life stationary. Unless I'm missing it, the article doesn't put a number figure on the rate of calendar ageing.

Real-world observations suggest batteries are likely to be serviceable for around 20 years, which is around the same lifetime of an average ICE car. Users who can tolerate a much reduced range (which is most of us) can likely extend this even further.

stavros•about 2 hours ago
Lithium batteries age even just sitting on the shelf. I fly RC planes and we store our batteries at 3.8V to lengthen their life, but they still deteriorate even when not used. Like anything else, I guess.
nubinetwork•about 1 hour ago
Can confirm, I bought some Panasonic cells roughly 10 years ago for a battery pack, and have ~12 cells that didn't make it into the pack.

They've been sitting unused, in their original packaging, never opened... They're still sitting at the charge they shipped at, but the capacity is so diminished that one can't even run an esp32 for a day. I've tried cycling them to see if I can get the capacity back up, but I think they're toast already.

defrost•about 2 hours ago
The article specifically talks about how this has changed with the evolution of chemistry in Li based car batteries.

I suspect the RC plane batteries you've been using for five years are not the same chemically as the EV car batteries in use in the UK for five years.

avidiax•about 2 hours ago
Put them in the vegetable bin in the fridge, too. Should make them last much longer.
borski•about 2 hours ago
This is just untrue.