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ttransitivebs about 3 hours ago 15 commentsRead Article on doom-or-bloom.com

FR version is available. Content is displayed in original English for accuracy.

Map your AI worldview by answering a few questions, and see how you compare with others.

only takes a few minutes && free & open source && private by default && powered by Jev

I think this is a really important question for everyone to be asking themselves, and my hope is that this lil project helps to move our conversations around AI futures in a more balanced, productive direction.

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#results#more#human#why#def#sources#analysis#choices#changes#dominant

Discussion (15 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews

zaphar•19 minutes ago
Depending on what exactly this analysis means by Human Choices I either think it captured me well or got me completely wrong:

   Human choices can make limited changes, but dominant forces constrain the outcome.
I actually believe Human Choice is the dominant force here. But I expect aggregate human choice to limit the changes a single individual can have on the global outcome.
transitivebs•17 minutes ago
yeah, moloch will come for us all in the end
thevinter•about 1 hour ago
> log-in with X

No thanks? Also why do you even need a login?

john_strinlai•about 1 hour ago
it doesn't appear to be a requirement.
transitivebs•39 minutes ago
yeah, it's purely optional. by default, your results stay private in your browser session

but i wanted a way for people to publish their results to share w/ others

Suhinnall27•about 2 hours ago
I believe your correct that this is a question everybody should ask themselves, and it would be very interesting to see how varied the responses are. I feel AI has been both a blessing and curse, and I hope it doesn't solely become the later.
transitivebs•38 minutes ago
def plan to follow up w/ some anonymized analysis of the results if i get enough submissions
Marha01•42 minutes ago
Gary Marcus in the center? He is a strong AI skeptic, I think he should be lower, away from the "Civilizational change" direction.
transitivebs•35 minutes ago
i agree, but if you view the sources his answers are grounded in, he seems to have updated to being more moderate in light of recent progress. still def on the lower side of the predicted impact spectrum, but it seems he's taking the impacts more seriously now

that's why it's so important to show the sources used to derive these positions. like https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/why-my-pdoom-has-risen-dra...

transitivebs•34 minutes ago
i really spent a lot of time looking through results and trying to course-correct and fix the model where i found obvious issues, but it's definitely not perfect

if you find any particularly egregious results, they're likely due to not having good enough public sources for that user's viewpoints. def let me know and i'll try to improve them

thanks

ddxv•about 1 hour ago
P doom < 1 percent and at the bottom closest to incremental change.

edit: I would be curious to see how I'd changed over time as well. I would guess I was much more worried a year ago

transitivebs•39 minutes ago
really appreciate you taking the time to test it out && hope it was useful
ctoth•about 1 hour ago
Bloom (like a mold)
ModernMech•30 minutes ago
Needs more dimensions for net worth and social media audience size.
transitivebs•28 minutes ago
i don't have net worth data in there, but you can sort by X follower counts on this more detailed page: https://www.doom-or-bloom.com/users