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Discussion (2 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews
The modern geopolitical Middle East is a creation/construct of UK & France (Sykes-Picot Agreement) post WW1.
I see the Middle East and Israel as a European project, with the enforcement component (liability) sitting on the US balance sheet. There seems to be growing recognition of this, hence the shifting strategy where US is exiting Europe/NATIO. US position in the Middle East becoming financially and geopolitically untenable - the Iranian damage-to/destruction-of M/E bases will be too costly to rebuilt.
Israel (as per recent Bibi 60minutes interview) is looking to financially detach from the US for support.
Europe has a major energy crisis evolving and limited options for diversity. LNG imports from USA are not financially or geopolitically viable. They cut themselves off from Russian gas, and the Russian state is publicly signalling they're unwilling to supply them and the M/E is on fire.
Even if the war were to end today, the structural damage to the artificial western-made Middle Eastern royal fiefdoms is over.
Europe will shoulder much of the burden created by this conflict.