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#weight#semaglutide#glp#loss#more#risk#study#effects#dementia#inflammation

Discussion (74 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews

bariswheel37 minutes ago
tdlr: This is a Novo Nordisk-funded study focusing on predictive biomarkers rather than real-world dementia cases. Novo Nordisk's actual dedicated clinical trials for Alzheimer's completely failed to show that semaglutide stops cognitive decline.

"A predictive biomarker is like a "check engine" light on your dashboard. It warns you that there is a risk of a future problem. In this study, the researchers only checked if the drug turned off the "check engine" light (by measuring blood proteins), rather than testing if the car was actually driving properly (by testing the patients' actual memory and brain function)."

Always do FIRST analysis on studies. Or have AI do it for you. I used Gemini to dig into this:

"Novo Nordisk funded this study, and several of the researchers are employees or minor shareholders. While corporate funding doesn't automatically mean the data is fabricated, it does mean the company is highly motivated to find and publish data that makes their blockbuster drug (semaglutide, marketed as Wegovy, Ozempic, and Rybelsus) look like a preventative treatment for a wider range of conditions, expanding its market and driving up profits."

"Funding: The study was funded by Novo Nordisk A/S.

Investigation: Researchers conducted a post hoc analysis using data from the randomized, placebo-controlled SELECT trial. They applied the Dementia SomaSignal Test (dSST)—a 25-protein risk score—to non-fasted serum samples collected at baseline and at week 104 to estimate 5-year and 20-year all-cause dementia risk in patients receiving semaglutide (2.4 mg) versus a placebo.

Results: Semaglutide significantly attenuated the progression of the dementia risk signature. Compared to the placebo group, the 5-year predicted risk increased 2.5-fold less (a 26.0% lower predicted event rate) and the 20-year risk increased 1.67-fold less (an 8.8% lower rate). Semaglutide also lowered the odds of patients moving into a higher dementia risk category by 36%.

Subjects: The analysis included 2,970 older adults aged 65 and older (mean age of ~69.7 years) who had overweight or obesity and cardiovascular disease, but no history of diabetes. The cohort consisted of 814 women (27.4%) and 2,156 men (72.6%).

Time: The study evaluated data over a 104-week (2-year) follow-up period. The analysis was published on August 8, 2026."

And then map the weakness to each respective letter if you want to dig deeper.

TheBlight34 minutes ago
Didn't even bother looking into it because there's obviously not enough data yet to say anything substantial about GLP-1s and Alzheimers. But your comment should probably be the top.
danielmarkbruce10 minutes ago
GLP-1s have been used for over 20 years. There likely is enough data to say something, even if it's not water tight.
rogerrogerr13 minutes ago
I’m not an expert on this, but haven’t GLP-1’s been used for quite a while on more limited scopes? So maybe there’s a cohort of people that could approach statistical significance.
londons_exploreabout 1 hour ago
So has anyone managed to separate the effects of semaglutide from the effects of weight loss?

If this is caused by the weight loss, it is a little disappointing that public health didn't act quicker - lots of people have been overweight for a century now, so literally 10's of millions of people could have been saved from dementia had action been taken 100 years ago.

jaggederest30 minutes ago
I have some individual anecdotal evidence. I spent a long time, basically a year, relatively heavy but on a very small dose of GLP drugs due to tolerability issues, and my labs improved dramatically, to a degree we redid them out of disbelief, even without weight loss. I believe one of the suspected underlying causes is reduction in fatty liver despite constant body weight and composition, and also inflammation reduction directly through GLP influence in other areas of the body.

I'm not great evidence because N=1 and all the confounders, but I found that it absolutely made me much healthier without weight loss. I then went on to increase the dose slowly and have lost a bunch of weight and my labs improved even more, which I attribute mostly to the body mass reduction.

alyandon22 minutes ago
Similar experience here on minimal dose of GLP-1. There is definitely something going on here other than "you are just losing weight and that's really why your healthier".

With my labs at my current weight you can not tell that I am a type 2 diabetic. Previously, when I was at this very same weight in the past - all my labs indicated I was prediabetic.

SoftTalker40 minutes ago
With all the research into dementia and its causes, if there was a simple strong link to overweight I can't imagine that would not stand out in the data and be well known by now.

Edit: although, there are well-known links between overweight and a lot of negative outcomes, and yet people are still too fat.

Aurornis37 minutes ago
That is the question now. Some studies have some early evidence that GLP-1s might reduce inflammation markers a little more than weight loss alone.

Giving GLP-1s to normal weight people doesn’t work well because they can have to work harder to maintain their weight. That can be a real problem as people get older where maintaining muscle mass is important for quality of life and longevity. I remember how hard it was to keep some of my grandparents at a healthy weight, so adding a GLP-1 to a non-obese elderly group is a no-go for study purposes. Going to be hard to separate these effects out.

WarmWash26 minutes ago
My assumption was that GLP-1's don't suppress appetite so much as suppress the compulsion to eat when not necessary/more than necessary?
ivraatiems28 minutes ago
Semaglutide was invented in the early 2000s. Weight loss is an extremely complicated and societally mediated problem that we didn't have a 'cheat code' like this for until recently.
object-a44 minutes ago
What should public health have done differently?
hattmall41 minutes ago
Treat junk food like cigarettes
bobthepanda35 minutes ago
Unfortunately in most countries the blocker is politics, not the desire of public health officials to do anything. See the current US admin going after vaccines while declaring open season for peptides.
emmabruns44 minutes ago
Even more so. Not absolute weight loss but the effect of loss of the systemic inflammation due to a surplus of visceral fat which has significantly more systemic effect than subcutaneous fat or other types of loss of mass.
a-dubabout 1 hour ago
that is the interesting question. also the effects of weight loss vs. the effects of disengagement with the engineered to be addictive "food products" side of the western diet.
lotsofpulp41 minutes ago
What is interesting about it?

Proper sleep, eating less (including liquid calories), and exercising have been the mainstream medical advice for many decades.

Obviously, most people can’t accomplish that for whatever reason, so another solution was needed.

a-dub37 minutes ago
> What is interesting about it?

did western society engineer a junkfood-industrial-complex so addicting and so en-sickening that it ultimately required a sort of junk food methadone to wean itself off?

RobotToaster31 minutes ago
Alzheimers dementia is sometimes called type 3 diabetes, so it may be both.
kwanbix36 minutes ago
Well, if you consider that is much cheaper to eat trash than healthy, and that food companies' only interest is in maximizing profit, you have what we have.
WalterBright21 minutes ago
I don't buy that. You can buy a steak and a potato for two for less than a bag of Doritos. A banana costs far less than a candy bar. A bag of mixed nuts will provide many meals.

Price out a bag of rice, a bag of beans, etc.

> food companies' only interest is in maximizing profit

Pleasing your customers is how profit is maximized.

Besides, I bet if you were faced with two stores, one that charges $x for A, and another that charges $(x-1) for A, you'd patronize the latter store.

dbalatero9 minutes ago
Where are you getting a steak and potato for 2 for less than a bag of Doritos? Is it a 50 lb bag of Doritos?
atomicnumber323 minutes ago
But... the profits!
SecretDreams30 minutes ago
Dementia aside, there are plenty of very obvious reasons we should have been discouraging obesity and encouraging healthier eating and lifestyle habits.

Lobbies and general government ineptitude have been a problem longer than obesity and that one needs to be solved first.

siva742 minutes ago
>> If this is caused by the weight loss, it is a little disappointing that public health didn't act quicker

I imagine people hundred years in the future will think of our current society rightfully as dumbfucks. But should we be surprised? 50 years ago women didn't have voting rights; homosexuals were incarcerated in western societes; all because of moral and power implications of some powerful men. Not much different with Semaglutide.

kbelder30 minutes ago
>50 years ago women didn't have voting rights

Where are you? In the US, women have had full voting rights for over 100 years.

forestrywat6 minutes ago
I think you need to read up on why the civil rights act was necessary and the things it fought for. Woman's suffrage was fought for a long time ago, but that does not mean it was universally applied.

Many many times in US history we've said something is true, but put some big asterisks after them. Slavery is over (except it's definitely still permitted in the US), it's illegal to discriminate based on race (except we allowed redlining for generations and arguably are still fighting it), rape is illegal (unless it's your spouse, then it was legal until '93. And a lesser crime still in much of the country).

Voting is no different. Heck, one might argue we still don't have universal suffrage. People who want to vote but because we've put barriers like underfunding stations, long lines, not giving time off to vote, etc. we're clearly preventing some types of people.

siva728 minutes ago
No, black woman (among many other minorities) certainly didn't. I guess that part isn't taught in american schools as thoroughly as it should be.
declan_robertsabout 1 hour ago
If you're overweight or especially if you're T2D I highly encourage you to discuss GLP-1 with your doctor. If you're T2D then get research retatrutide which looks to be an actual cure for T2D by clearing liver fat. It should be released early next year but research-use is available and what everybody is taking. Companies like finnrick do public testing of research peptides and a good place to gather names.
antinomicus40 minutes ago
I’m on tirzepatide right now from Eli lily, and I’ve been very interested in Reta, but I can’t say that I jump at the chance to inject something into myself that hasn’t been tested directly on the actual thing I’m about to put into my body. I know there are testing companies that will test certain sources but it’s not like they’ve tested the vial you get. If there’s some kind of pathogen or bacteria or whatever in the vial you get, well, there’s no recourse: it was “for research use only”. That seems like an unacceptable risk, but I see so many people on the internet claiming miraculous results. Maybe if I knew someone in real life, but I know those biohacking subreddits and such are astroturfed to no end by companies looking to sell sketchy peptides.
declan_roberts12 minutes ago
That's a common and very acceptable concern and there's not great answers for it. Mostly a place will do multi-vail testing for purity, sterility, endotoxin and heavy metals. The idea is that the sample is sufficient to show safety. Many are rightfully dubious of this but still thousand and thousands of people taking it.
01100011about 1 hour ago
Semaglutide cleared my liver fat and fixed my moderate NAFLD in a matter of months. Why is retatrutide necessary?
declan_roberts43 minutes ago
Retatrutide has a specific mechanism for clearing liver fat (glucagon) which makes it one of the most effective ways to treat T2D. This is the 3rd agonist not found in semaglutide or tirzepatide.
hattmall38 minutes ago
Are you implying the medicine did it or does the medicine just make you eat less which cleared it? Like is there an MOA of the drug itself?
declan_roberts10 minutes ago
Yes the medicine does it. It's attacking T2D via several pathways, but in the case of Reta the glucagon is doing the heavy lifting of clearing liver fat.

This extra receptor is why Reta is a triple agonist unlike semaglutide (single glp1) or tirzepatide (glp1+gip double agonist).

brianfryerabout 1 hour ago
Semaglutide clears liver fat? I had no idea. I’m curious to know more about your protocol
0110001143 minutes ago
I'm a big semaglutide proponent after being on it for a year. I know research says it helps with inflammation, arthritis (separately from weight reduction), and all sorts of magical things.

I lost 40 pounds in a year(230 to 190) at age 50. Great! I also went from being active and fat(weightlifting with some cardio) to basically having no energy. In the last year I've had arthritis appear in several joints. I'm awake several times a night to pee(yeah, prostate is acting up but I still void completely. The semaglutide is like a diuretic for me at night.). I get waves of hypoglycemia like feelings where I feel weak and spaced out. I'm afraid to get off of it because now my joints can't handle the extra weight. My doc recommended going to every other week now that my BMI is normal but as far as I can tell that advice isn't backed up by any research. Anyway, it's a powerful drug that works well but is not without side effects.

zulux32 minutes ago
I'm on the pill version, which allows me to adjust the dosage on a more day-to-day level. It also doesn't need a fridge, so it allows me to travel more easily. There's a level that works best for me long-term, and it's quite a bit less than typical.
hattmall39 minutes ago
You are a proponent, but your outcomes seem worse?
Juvination34 minutes ago
Losing 40 pounds where sometimes it feels like this weight is impossible to lose. That's what makes it worth it.
amrrs37 minutes ago
Is it kind of the stuff where the benefits outweigh the side effects? I'm just scared of the unknowns with the drug with such overwhelming positive research. Maybe, I'm a paranoid person but I'm unable to believe that such a powerful drug isn't without any side effect, clinically proven.
borski16 minutes ago
What dose? Have you considered lowering it?
goda90about 1 hour ago
Isn't lower calorie consumption in general correlated to longevity? (Assuming no major malnutrition)
1970-01-01about 1 hour ago
That's a big percent for something that is completely devastating. This is objectively good news.
rimeice15 minutes ago
in older adults *with obesity *and cardiovascular disease without diabetes
p-oabout 1 hour ago
Although it's encouraging, they do mention that the reduction in the BMI also have an effect (they take it into the consideration by lowering the β −0.092 to β −0.066 (P < 0.001)).

Just skimming through it, it's possible there are direct benefits, but it could also be other environmental factor. This study will most likely generate others that give us more insight in the future.

randycupertinoabout 3 hours ago
This is interesting. Diabetes is a well-known risk factor for dementia.
roryirvineabout 2 hours ago
As is being sedentary - there are probably lots of interconnected factors in play, and GLP-1 receptor agonists seem to help with more than one (perhaps even many) of them.

Unpicking the exact chains of causation is likely going to be extremely complex, but the general picture continues to look good.

toomuchtodoabout 2 hours ago
Western disease and sugar heavy diets broadly speaking, which Semaglutide is a countermeasure against. Not yet a vaccine, but in due time (probably via gene therapy). Fructose also helps cancer metastases and spread.

https://www.sciencealert.com/common-sugar-appears-to-loosen-...

adjejmxbdjdnabout 1 hour ago
First of all it’s a nice study. The dosages they always give are way too high and mice are rarely a reliable model.

But you’re also ignoring the fact that the same study shows that glucose inhibits the behavior.

So your claim that the study indicates its sugar is incorrect. The study indicates a possible impact from fructose which is countered by glucose, so the real issue is the fructose to glucose ratio.

Table sugar providing equal fructose and glucose molecules is acquitted by this study.

diathabout 1 hour ago
> Western disease and sugar heavy diets broadly speaking

No, just being sedentary. There's no such thing as acquired diabetes in physically active people.

AlexErrant36 minutes ago
To "actshully" you (because there are no absolutes in biology) pro-triathlete Lionel Sanders got his hba1c up to prediabetic range (5.9)

https://www.tri247.com/triathlon-news/elite/lionel-sanders-t...

Also age plays a pretty significant role. I know older asians who regularly walk who still got T2D. You could argue that walking isn't physically active enough... but they'd argue otherwise. It's all relative.

victorbjorklundabout 1 hour ago
Doubt you can eat just pure fructose for 30 years and ”move” and avoid diabetes.
gloryjulioabout 1 hour ago
Sugar heavy diets is everywhere IF people can afford to have them if you look at the data. There is no such thing as Western vs Eastern in this sense.

Note I am not Western

anonuser123about 1 hour ago
Read a interesting piece recently that Semaglutide reduces inflammation, and very likely the weight-loss and a lot of the other emerging benefits are likely the effects of reduced inflammation.
Aurornisabout 1 hour ago
> and very likely the weight-loss and a lot of the other emerging benefits are likely the effects of reduced inflammation.

That’s not correct. GLP-1s interact with satiety (fullness) circuits and reduce appetite. They also have minor effects delaying gastric emptying, meaning the stomach stays full longer.

There is some early data suggesting that they might reduce some inflammation markers slightly more than weigh loss alone, but losing weight and controlling food intake without GLP-1s reduces the same inflammatory markers. The question now is if GLP-1s have additional anti-inflammatory influence.

I don’t know why someone would claim all of their effects are downstream of inflammation. Some people get stuck in modes where they think inflammation is the cause of everything and can’t comprehend causal effects going in the other direction.

Alien1Beingabout 1 hour ago
"Semaglutide attenuates a proteomics-based dementia risk signature "

ie : clinically meaningless.

The company behind this, Novo Nordisk is increasingly desperate, as tirzepatide destroys the semaglutide revenue stream and the consequent job losses decimate the company

dghlsakjgabout 1 hour ago
Their operating profit was up 11% on a margin of 44% according to their recent quarterly release, and they beat EPS by 23%. They were in a little trouble in the stock market a few years ago as competitors came online, but they are doing pretty well right now.

They have launched new semaglutide oral products which are growing faster than previous products, and they have multiple drugs in the research pipeline in late phases.

Scharkenbergabout 1 hour ago
Can you elaborate on your claims? As it currently stands, I’m only reading meaningless drivel from you.
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antonmksabout 1 hour ago
Absolutely magical drug ! It makes you thinner, younger and now smarter !
AFF87about 2 hours ago
We are very early in the semaglutide world, exciting times ahead!
AaronAPU7 minutes ago
If it reduces inflammation and causes weight loss, I find it impossible to believe you can just stop and not get rebound on both.

Which to me just sounds like every other addictive drug. Paradise while you’re high, and eventually you pay for it.

ndrabout 1 hour ago
For sure we still need to find out many related outcomes.

Last year it become known that it increases (high relative risk, low absolute risk) non-arteritic anterior ischemic optic neuropathy (NAION), ie sudden, sometimes permanent vision loss.

https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/prac-concludes-eye-conditi...

mapontoseventhsabout 1 hour ago
To save others the click: It increased the likelihood to 1 in 10,000 in adults with type 2 diabetes.

Diabetics are already more prone NAION. This studies contribution was to show that diabetics on GLP-1's are MORE prone. It does not show that the general population is more prone when taking GLP-1's.

I didn't check to see if other studies prove that.

thrtythreefortyabout 1 hour ago
It is well known that forcing a sudden drop in chronically high average blood glucose (like, from 200+ to a normal ish range) with insulin can cause vision loss. I wonder if it's the same mechanism?
adam_arthurabout 1 hour ago
It's also true that having a crowded optical disc is pretty much a required precursor condition to suffering NAION.

Which you can get checked for via a $50 optical scan.

No crowded disc, very little risk.

(Cup to Disc ratio of 0.2ish or less starts to present risk)

tptacekabout 1 hour ago
In addition to being closely associated with the conditions semaglutide treats, NAION is quite rare.