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Discussion (77 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews
If it turned out an LLM embezzled funds and spent them at an internet casino, we would have folks in the comments explaining that what really matters is the embezzlement rate compared to humans doing the same job.
In addition to not enjoying my work as much as what I used to because it's become babysitting an superpowered AI toddler, I now have to deal with this kind of opinion online.
I can say for a fact that reliable medical transcrption and dictation is worth handling hallicinations..
its an order of magnitude worse in real life.. or else its just ommitted info since most docs and nurses dont have time for details..
By all means lets be accurate but we must remember all these complex workflows are filled with human error..
Based on watching the medical software field as a consumer (patient) and friends who are doctors, this is a fantasy. The quality of software in this field is abysmal and there seems to be almost no repercussions to those who develop or sell it.
Which is precisely why this sort of thing can be rolled out without much fear by those pushing it.
The humans are probably making mistakes like writing 100mg of something when they meant 10mg, which can also have dangerous consequences, but to an extent it's known this happens and there are processes to catch it. The type of mistakes and how much trouble and distress they cause matters as much as the number.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7284300/
"It was stated in notes that I had lung cancer. I do not and never have had lung cancer."
"I did receive a referral for physical therapy, it was for the wrong body part"
"Doctor reported that I did not claim to have pain in my hand. I am a pianist and I went specifically because pain was in my hand."
"I have been complaining of difficulty breathing [for over 3 mo]... notes saying my breathing is normal"
And plenty more
(I do think this is extraordinarily rare compared to how often AI hallucinations happen, but it's such a bizarre story that I have to mention it.)
Damn, my doctor is always happy to give me 45 minutes of her time or more. Sometimes I feel like I'm taking up too much of her time chatting her ear off, but she's never in a rush to get me out of the door.
Perks of small town living?
That's $50 billion a year, and a million people pulled out of the labor force. Is that worth it? Is that really the best thing you can do with $50 billion dollars? In real life, tradeoffs exist.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12460601/
I bet that to make the business case viable (or rather profitable), it's probably something small and cheap.
Bigger and better models don't come with any guarantees as to correctness either, but they do push down the probability of something as wrong as this happening by orders of magnitude.
That and processes. Even a smol dumb model can throw a report at both parties in the end where both need to sign off on it. Which should also scale better if both do, because the patient doesn't get fatigued because it's not happening many times per day.
__
Point being that I wouldn't necessarily blame it on the tech itself, but rather the (probably) startup, the culture and the fact that no one is going to jail here.
Your honor, the floats are innocent. They were simply forced to do this by the evil startup founder.
Or at least my LLM thinks that you did.
I think this is an issue people often overlook / does not get enough weight in the discussion.
I do wonder that, when such profound technologies (such as AI, social media) are rolled out, should they be subjected to studies from the "human perspective" for a longer period of time.
However, this might be impossible in the current system.
My cousin used one of these apps with patient consent and said she then has to listen to the audio and rewrite it all. Stopped for that reason. Wasn’t even a time saver.
Strangely, I think Robin really just mistimed this. They stopped just as the state of the art came out and with their human in the loop transcription they might have been quite useful.
Recently my partner received a prescription with instructions that were over the LD50 (we caught it as it was obviously too high). We reported it but it was likely the case of the clerk simply hitting the wrong button and not double checking the resulting sticker
I’d be interested to see the AI transcription failure rate compared with existing medical/pharmacy rates
But this seems a bit click baity.
You can challenge your medical record, and presumably an AI transcription service would be in there. Unless .au is special in that way.
I can understand the appeal in the tech industry, where the increased costs can be deferred until the financial situation changes. But healthcare does not work like that.
I'd be hesitant to connect that to internal bleeding right off the bat though. Definitely would not trust claims that internal bleeding is a first-order effect of the drug.
If I report a bug in (for example) Slack that loses messages and cost me a lot of time and headaches, is it an appropriate response to say "but Teams has even more bugs" or "sure, but if you had that conversation face to face you might miss something too"?
I treat it as it is: a trendy hit piece against AI. There's nothing like "Why they still use Whisper Large V2?" in sight. If this article pushes the establishment to be more transparent about the AI tools, good. But right now there's not much to discuss.
And hence comparing AI use to a fictional situation where no errors happens is not meaningful.
I've personally caught multiple errors that were not just transcription errors, but elementary reasoning errors done by specialists I've seen - the baseline error rate from healthcare providers is far above zero.
My experience dealing with ai-mediated processes is that the error recovery paths often simply don't exist, presumably because eliminating the personel that dealt with oddball and errors was the supposed benefit of having the AI deal with it in the first place.
I feel like if you asked any half-intelligent AI "please review these notes and flag points we should review for correctness, or check with the patient?"
I'm pretty sure it would pick up a huge chunk of issues?
> Doctor: have you used any recreational drugs in the last six months > Patient: No > Doctor: < long pause as they review notes > > Patient (hallucinated most likely response): umm, actually there was one thing I hesitated to mention. Me and my girlfriends tried microdosing…
Well, doesn't every tool? The devil is in the details of just how easy it is to use correctly versus incorrectly, and what are the consequences if it's not used correctly. A tool that, when used as its manufacturer advises, fails as often as most AI systems do has no place in systems where peoples' health and safety can be harmed.
Have you ever actually read your notes on file?
This is basically living in a fantasy world. Errors are routine.
One of my notes in my current medical file states I injured my shoulder playing for a NFL team. I have never played football, and certainly not at a professional level. Fixing it is sort of like trying to fix your credit report - you supposedly get it done, and then 6mo later the same error pops back up again.
Ironically the reason this note exists is very similar to a way an AI scribe would misinterpret a conversation.
"the nurse who was trying to be very nice said in a less sweet tone that the doctor is supposed to review the notes so this does not happen. And that she is very glad I caught it and the doctor will be glad too. I do not know if this was something Very Serious or an ongoing problem or what."
Given this threads story is the second incident of this I've heard in a week it seems like it is a common error with very serious consequences.
So even the doctor forgot what they had talked about, and assumed the transcription was right? Crikey.
In fact, there will be MORE of those stories because it is shocking and strange, and clickworthy! The readers demand stories! But the reality is that there is no world where a story like this meaningfully informs the public about the accuracy of the services in question and the tradeoffs involved.
This is known as the long tail problem in ML, and it's a reality in almost every field. It's also why we don't officially have self driving cars, despite there being thousands of videos out there with cars driving autonomously for hours without any errors. But every now and then, there will be cases where the system doesn't work.
There are two interesting aspects here. One, we don't actually have quantitative data on how often this happens in the same field when human errors don't get caught. In a perfect world we'd have that, plus a long study for the "AI" systems, and we'd get to compare the two. Secondly, even if we'd have that data, people would still act out against "the machine" in the (ideally fewer) cases where it errors out, compared to a doctor. It's part human nature, part (manufactured) rage against the machines.
I also agree with your second paragraph. Case in point, when a waymo hit a cat, we got a shit ton of articles, riled up communities, and so on. Or every time that other car hits something we get plenty of press, even if some of the "accidents" are fender benders that likely wouldn't get reported otherwise.
The relevant information is the rate for each.
There are estimated hundreds of millions of medical transcription errors per year without AI. 42.4% of finalized medical notes still contained at least one error.
Prior to AI it would be about voice to text. Prior to that it would be some transcriber in India. Prior to that it would be the doctor themselves
but with AI you get to add "hallucinations" to the mix.
Sure, it sucks if your self driving car gets in a crash or your AI scribe incorrectly transcribes something to your medical record. This is news now. What isn't news is humans getting into crashes or doctors making poor medical decisions as a result of low quality or missing notes.
This happens every single day and is effectively never reported. For far more nefarious reasons than a simple scribing error.
Drug seeking behavior enters notes all the time without much evidence and based entirely on a random doctor's (or even a triage nurse) hunch. A significant portion of those notes are outright false and incorrect. Once that is on your file and in a given medical system, you are marked for life.
When doctors make mistakes, they can be held accountable -- their malpractice insurance rates go up, their licenses are subject to suspension or revocation, they can go to jail (eg if they are pill mills) or they/the practice get a bad review.
When AI makes mistakes, what happens? How is it held accountable?
So I was always up-front with these providers. I figured they had a right to know. They asked if I was using drugs, and I would explain the situation. Obviously it is not voluntary use.
But, sure as shootin', "habitual marijuana use" showed up in my chart. That kind of shit is hard to deny and it'd be impossible to appeal or erase that. So I live with it. I have come around to the viewpoint that it is wise to conceal many material facts from your doctors. Conceal as much as possible. Lying is better than the alternative.