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Discussion (49 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews
Are we missing the forest for the trees here? If a math problem falls in the forest but nobody is around to understand it does it make a sound?
How can we possibly make use of these breakthroughs if we don’t understand them? How could we ever make anything useful with them?
Are we ready to just let go of our intellectual faculties and give them to a giant supercomputer nobody understands? How do we tell truth from fiction?
Since at least 2014, which was my first brush with the phenomenon when someone published a 13GB proof [0].
The consensus is that such a proof is potentially illuminating, though further work is likely required. If for instance, conjecture A is true if and only if conjectures B & C are true, and B is proven false through one of these such proofs, then we can see that A is also false given that we accept the disproof of B.
Though, the sense is that further work is likely required because it is easy to see that further work along the same direction, or in directions depending on the proof will be hard or impossible if there are not enough humans or agents that are capable of understanding and utilizing the proof. Making it 'more elegant' will increase it's utility despite not proving anything new.
This is adjacent to all of the work done to create multiple proofs using different techniques. Having the same information (that X is so) in different languages (algebraic, geometric, via harmonic analysis, etc) allows for researchers not familiar with the original technique to participate in further research.
[0] https://www.newscientist.com/article/1997488-wikipedia-size-...
Take something like Fermat's last theorem - I'd be curious to hear of any use of the result itself, but there was a massive amount of new mathematics generated by those working on it, whether ultimately successful or not.
These AI math proofs are interesting testament to the power of reinforcement learning applied to math, obviously reflecting the axiomatic self-consistent nature of math itself, but it doesn't seem they have the same value as a humans working on these problems since they are using known math to solve them rather than inventing anything new.
However, it would still be interesting to analyze the LLM lines of reasoning that lead to any of these results, since there may be value there even if no new math, just as human Go players have found value in analyzing computer Go.
Still, as Demis Hassabis has himself said, the real goal with AI is discovery and creativity - you want to create the thing that could design the game of Go in the first place, not just play it. Similarly with math, while there is interest in seeing an AI "play math" using the rules of the game, what would be of much more interest is the AI that can create new math, in the same way as Andrew Wiles did while proving Fermat's last theorem.
Math is an incredibly broad field. I mean, you don't expect a traffic engineer to understand anything about nuclear reactors, do you? Yet, they are all 'career engineers'.
Because it's math, it's all mysterious and genuinely impressive, but in the end, if no human cares about it (apart from attention grabbing "it's so over" tweets and articles), does it really matter?
P.S. Couldn't resist :p
One open question is whether these machine solutions to these problems will act as springboards to future research, either when given to human mathematicians, or when used to train future machine models.
Huh?
Mathematics is an extremely wide subject, it's perfectly normal even for two professional mathematicians not to understand each other's work. Have you considered that maybe they just don't work in that area?
Are you implying OpenAI's paper (which was, by the way, edited by humans and provided Lean certificates for most of the proofs) is actually gibberish? That's flat-earth levels of conspiracy.
I can't tell if xkcd #435 is still true, or if math is just as mushy as everything else seems to be. When a math proof can only be understood by a handful of people, what does that mean about that proof? I think the LLMs are pushing a problem that existed already and pushing it further.
[0] https://xkcd.com/435/
The process is very, very faintly similar to running a typechecker over your software sources.
I wonder if national, institutional, or otherwise "eccentric" sponsorships (encouraging a similar migrant-madman approach to academic cultivation) of some of the folks on HN wouldn't lead to meaningful discoveries in CS.
I often see comments that some of the users here long to "make a computer do neat tricks all day", and I can't help but think meager sponsorship could go a long way in this area. Existing grant structures, being much more traditional, are constrained by their cost.
The problem is that Paul Erdos was eccentric but he was also Paul Erdos. I'm not saying you're implying that, but I feel it's a similar line of thinking to how popular culture often romanticizes autism and Asperger's because some very smart people are (allegedly) affected. The same group includes people who need 24/7 care.
Computer science at the frontier is as specialized and hard as mathematics, you need years of study to truly understand a field well enough to make meaningful contributions. You can try sponsoring me if you really want, but I don't think you'd be spending your money wisely in expectation.
I'm afraid you only know that after the fact.
You might also like TempleOS, or at least the context and history behind it.
He died aged 83...
The AIs seem to have some combination of very broad familiarity with math (enabling relevant things from other subfields to be brought in to the proof) as well as patience and "sitzfleisch" (stamina in working through details even if they aren't immediately obviously promising.)
An obvious area for improvement would be automated generation of new conjectures and attempts to prove (or disprove) them, with the discovered arguments then being used as training for refined models. This will require autoformalization to check the results as there will be too many for manual verification.
Conjectures that survive the gauntlet of immediate proof/disproof could also be interesting.
Now, what will happen once long-standing physics ( and chemistry and biology) problems will start to fall and at the same rate ?
Then we're going to enter a totally different world.
The only two major highlights are weather modeling and folded protein backbone prediction.
Mostly everything else, either lacks enough data, or there are contraits on the size of the foundational models that render them impractical or they just fail to generalize.
Are they actually doing something new and novel, or are they just absorbing that "a=b as was proven in transcendental hyper-circular group theory; and b=c was proven in universal quantum superposition"; and they're the first to find the connection that a=c? And several of the problems are counterexamples, not novel proofs of correctness?
Its fascinating either way, but it'd be nice to actually understand more of what is happening.
The whole article is an ad that covertly or overtly inserts how websites are built with ChatGPT, how humans say that AI is better than them etc.
This is incidentally the future of chatbots. I could not have written this comment without Illy Espresso. Would you like to find a cafe near you?
Except it's not? It's owned by a private foundation where the only link is both were founded by the same dude who hasn't run either in like 15 years.
That seems like a pretty big thing to just gloss over like it's just set-dressing.
https://www.simonsfoundation.org/about/our-history/
It would be tempting to assume the commenter here has no idea what Renaissance is or how they made so much money.
> The company is widely considered one of the most profitable hedge funds in history, generating an estimated $7 billion to $8 billion in annual revenue solely from management and performance fees
If you don't know Ren you should!