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I'm noticing some of the concern play out regarding AI weakening the capabilities of software people.
I gave the team an exact solution on a silver platter and they still failed to identify how to go about it after 3 days slamming it into Claude. The resolution is literally 1 line of code that could be arrived at in about 30 minutes of patient, old school troubleshooting.
I think what's happening is the AI system draws poorly aligned and led engineers into this ego inflation feedback loop where they are completely detached from reality because these tools can simulate a better one.
Beyond that I don't trust it at all and I still write all my code the meat sack way.
Trust is earned not given and it hasn't earned it yet.
Maybe unforeseen breakthroughs and different architectures are achieved. Given LLM fundamental shortcomings grounded in mathematics and information theory, I highly doubt they will and we will always need to deal with these issues in some capacity.
I think what's happening is ... poorly aligned and led engineers [in] this ego inflation feedback loop where they are completely detached from reality
A story about a team of humans with some very human problems.
Usually, I take my time to understand each keyword of the code I'm looking at, especially if it is new to me, like terraform.
I work in a team/with one architect, who only did the DevOps/Infra stuff for the past years and I had the expectation he knows what he is doing and talking about.
At around 2 weeks, I noticed how his knowledge has severe gaps and how he takes things at face value or uses terminology interchangably, which confuses me. It sounds plausible, but it does not actually translate into a working system or shared understanding.
Then one day I did some pair programming with him and whenever there was an error or a resource missing, he would type it into the LLM, copy paste it out of it and then brute force error messages. He did not even wait a second to think or reconcile whats happening on the screen or what the exact requirement is. Never taking one step back and questioning any assumption.
Now that the timeline is shifting and everyone starts to be stressed, he continues to vibe code through me and it is so tiring, there is no higher level planning or architecture, its just a reactive type of trial and error to be faster. It feels like these people are so used to talking to bots, that they treat you like an agent they can chat to or talk through monologs with.
It is quite shocking how people went from being humble (learn the basics or close the gaps in understanding) to full on authority on everything and berating people 24/7...
So right now I'm considering quitting IT for a couple of years until people calm down, but I think its pretty futile
At my place, this is what they want. They want people to smash through things as fast as possible. They don’t want people to sit and craft a solution which takes in to account the whole. They are choosing tools which are low code, and use llm’s to produce what they need. as they say “this is the way things are going”.
The kind of person who insists on understanding things and working through the problem has always been rarer. It's not "humble", it's "inquisitive" and "persistent".
So quit pair programming. I never did, never will do that, nor worked at a place that remotely encouraged that. Each to their own, that's how it should be.
The speed AI debugs at is incredible and yes, we lose touch the more we use it like any manager feet up barking orders to their underlings to get things done.
On the surface it seems rational, but it quickly turns into a system of perverse incentives because now the development team must maintain an illusion that they are constantly overwhelmed with tasks and could never hope to spare a microsecond to assist the customer. This misalignment is how you wind up building your own web frameworks and databases from scratch. It turns into a self serving monster that eventually dominates the entire business. From the perspective of the business, many of these development teams look like they're behind some modern day iron curtain.
After three decades of outsourcing to lowest bidder, I do not buy that humans are somehow better!
> patient, old school troubleshooting
I usually see similar arguments around systems with major red flags (no docs, poor CI, decade ago no CVS...). And engineers with private stash of workarounds for job security!
Claude does not do anything special.
Or perhaps claude was misconfigured, it had no access to relevant part of system, and it tryied to work within its limitation. Often it means decompiling binaries in desperate loop...
Overabstracting, deduplicating things that don't need to be. Building metaclasses because it saw a single orchestrator in the whole codebase.
If it is a better engineer than you... You need practice.
Anecdote I like to tell.. I was working on a financial planning software, intentionally purely vibe coded as an experiment.
I eventually discovered AI had implemented seven duplicate copies of tax calculation functions. All of them different. All of them wrong. All of them giving different answers for same input.
Not even the most junior of newbie junior engineers would do something this crazy. But AI was happy to do it. It will solve the immediate problem, efficiently. Even if the most efficient solution is something ridiculous like this.
How many times I heard ORM are bad only to recreate the same shit?
How many times I heard ORM had bad performance and see 1+n stuff everywhere?
How many times I have seen tight coupling in the name of DRY?
But that is not a point. Claude can code tight compact loops, it just needs to be instructed to do so! If it does "enterprise code", it means it had no instructions about code style.
If your documentation, spec, agent.md does not have proper guidance on coding style... yet another red flag!
It is my pet peeve with Claude and why I don't prefer it for most stuff
(also the comment spam - but that's a all of them in a way or another)
Some asian devs will go for weeks without asking for help, all while giving amazing fake status reports. Loosing face etc...
https://x.com/PawelHuryn/status/2095982259761475945
https://bughunt.productcompass.pm/?preset=all
Claude Opus 4.8 ranks near last on this Bug Hunt benchmark, and missed 96% of the deliberately introduced bugs. If you're a developer who has been falling back to Opus 4.8 because of how Opus 5 talks, and Fable 5 being so expensive that it needs to be rationed... well, turns out Opus 4.8 can actually be quite poor for finding bugs.
(Which feels weird to me, because Opus 4.6 fixed a bug that myself and a group of humans had been hunting down for over a decade. Models are spiky.)
Also surprising to me: Luna Max performing better than Fable 5.1 High, at least on this benchmark. But Astra 6 & Fable 5.1 on Max both perform at the top as you would expect.
If model can not automatically reproduce bug, while human manually can... you got a problem in CI.
> Luna Max performing better than Fable 5.1 High
Perhaps you are reading too many benchmarks.
Edit for answer :
I agree Luna is great cheap model.
But if Fable was hitting security limits, yet was still included in benchmarks...
What flies better? Elephant or paper plane. You can make objective benchmark about that. But not much value for logistics company
Hard disagree. We absolutely cannot assume that. You can posit it, and we can have an informed debate about it. This is what irks me the most about LLM fans: they constantly try to reframe the debate to have their worldview as the agreed-upon starting point.
Why not? Because even pre-AI, very few companies spend time practicing restoring their backups, or disaster recovery, or picking infrequently-used runbooks to practice, or seeing whether they can easily rotate secrets without downtime, or trying to redploy the system onto another vendor's cloud/platform, or, or, or... It is the least-sexy operations work that exists. No executive cares about this. Ops organizations push for flashy work, same as everybody else: new infrastructure for new projects, cool chatbots, new flashy dashboards, make charts go up and to the right, etc.
Airline pilots go through diaster simulation training because the government mandates that training. If it wasn't a condition of holding a pilot's license, no company would pay for it.
Want SREs to spend time training for disasters? Take a step back. Support professional licensure. Make it a condition of holding a license. You won't get industry-wide professional behavior until you professionalize the work.
The more I use it, the more I have to rely on it to make changes/ fix things in the same system. In the end, I come out feeling empty; no intuitive knowledge of the system "I" built or fixed.
Code review is important but it does not replace the mental model I am able to build when I do all the steps of software development manually without AI.
You can probably drill SREs that way but you are only teaching them how to _react_ efficiently, not how to _fix_ unique unicorn root causes of these failures. Aviation analogy would be an airplane engineer that tries to drill himself for in-flight engine failures AND engine debugging / engine redesign both at the same time.
It never made sense in software engineering, and never will. Minute spent on drills is a minute better spent on reworking codebase to reduce changes of future incidents. This post is very SRE centric.
Luckily, there are ways to mitigate this and essentially translate those human intuition of how the codebase “should” be into guardrails for the agents. But without that, your setting your sails in a stochastic sea where each wave looks nothing like the last.
These days they do what the computer tells them. Even if they could solve the problem they don't have the agency. They can only select from the options they are given.
In software we still have the agency but we are giving away the understanding. The agency will follow.
We do not yet have the next generation systems that will manage AI creation and maintenance of systems.
Humans have been making spaghetti code systems and maintaining them poorly for years. Best practices developed… eventually. But certainly not in the 70s and 80s. Spaghetti was the norm for quite some time.
The development paradigm has changed. Forever. You can’t expect yesterday’s tools for managing software development to succeed at this point. We’re still roughly on year one of this transformation.
The new bottlenecks are creating and enforcing boundaries in the code, identifying level of risk within a boundary, subjecting high risk areas to more intense human review and architecture reworks, and so so much more manual testing.
We need a new language for high level development that focuses on architectural constraints. We need analysis software that helps draw boundaries, identify what needs extended human attention, and helps us map and understand a rapidly developing code base. We need to standardize on the use of frameworks and languages like we have on assembly variants.
I’ll bring up a hacker news trope here. NaughtyDog’s GOAL was an amazing system that was a product of an underdeveloped ecosystem for game development at the time. They used lisp and assembly because you still had to write assembly for performance reasons then.
We are in a very similar period. The ecosystem is underdeveloped. We should be looking for new languages and tools to manage this.
CNC machines used to run from punch cards and then hand written NC code. Now we have advanced CAM software. (Which innovative people are actually running with LLMs!)
Yes, it's clear that if AI agents handle routine issues then only the most complex issues will be handled by humans. In no way does it follow that humans will be less prepared to handle those incidents than they are now; by definition, this class of problems have no rote solutions. Each issue of this type already requires deep system knowledge to remediate, and still will.
What we are seeing here is an instance of the more general trend where experts are still required to operate complex systems, but AI is destroying the career path that creates those experts. That's what we should be worrying about, not that people are going to be spending less time rebooting boxes. This isn't something you can fix with a "simulator."
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/000510...
The article is based on evidence, and states it clearly in the body.
My problem is that the article argues that simulation will be suitable in the software space, as it is in the aviation space. I see no evidence for that; it's pure hypothesis taken as fact.
I work with programmers and it's not uncommon that they can remember with shocking detail about code they've written in the past.
Someone might mention an issue that has cropped up and they'll stare off into space for a few moments and actually remember where that issue stems from in the code, because they remember writing it like 8 months ago.
This skill will be lost when AI is generating all code, we'll be stuck in a perpetual loop of having AI keep track of the state of the code in order for AI to extend and maintain it.
They were asked to "just use AI" and understand the component, triage the issue, build a fix etc. The engineer was forced to choose between accepting a potentially mediocre fix AI has suggested or risk being coming across as an incompetent resource who doesn't know how to leverage AI.
You can guess what the engineer chose. The fix wasn't bad but it was suboptimal for some edge cases. We had to later revise it. Have enough of these situations, engineers will eventually definitely give up understanding the system in detail.
I like the plane example from the article,but I think in reality it will be like code. 1.5 years ago engineers would routinely say that they still write code by hand here or there to keep their skills sharp, and that's just not something you hear much if at all.
If an SRE is faced with a situation an AI can't solve, then said SRE will use the AI systems to triage further, point it to different places and so on.
This works for SREs with pre-AI experience and intuition, possibly less so with new recruits coming in post-AI. I don't know what the solution to this is, maybe practice drills is it, but I have a hunch the entire field will be subsumed, same as many other engineering fields.
There is only so much need for taste and judgement, before even that has been incorporated into the models.
That doesn’t mean the proposed solution is always right, but it is absolutely landing on the root issue faster than most humans would be able to, even pre-AI. Just because it can remember and run through a bunch of commands more quickly that I can.
There are lots of incidents where the symptom doesn’t always clearly point to the issue, so having something that can fairly exhaustively check a lot of different things very quickly is pretty useful!
But I at least partly agree, I think the more complicated and obtuse a system is, the harder it is for AI to do this. But we’ve invested time in making systems much more straightforward to understand and operate from one place (Kubernetes in general), and AI thrives on that.
And yeah, it means your debugging skills wane a bit because, yeah, if the bot can diagnose the issue in 5 minutes, it’d be irresponsible to not use it.
And I’m not really happy about it, and personally I’ve always been able to figure out a tricky bug given enough time. I don’t want to loose that skill. But everyone is under a lot of time pressure these days.
But that's also likely to change with AI assistance. Even an "average" system is better than none. So now teams will have the capacity to bring that in to their systems. Backups / recovery drills that are actually tested (either because they're implementing testing or because the AI screws something up and they need to recover). Either way, it'll be included. Same for security ops. And devops.
I still strongly believe that AI assistance is a catalyst / accelerator, and that the "floor" will rise in most domains. So a small team that only had bandwidth to deal with the happy path previously, will now be able to start incorporating processes and procedures that were historically only done at corporate level. And that's a good thing. Even if it won't look like that in the beginning. But we'll get there, eventually.
Firms aren’t just selling products, they are selling reliability and taking on liability.
I disagree with this. Whatever the AI produces must be embodied in some kind of information system. The moment the output is on disk, it's fish in a barrel for any competent operator.
I've worked in environments that are beyond the pale with regard to complexity. It will take AI another 10 years to product something as complicated and coherent as a semiconductor manufacturing operating system, which is clearly feasible for humans to manage today.
Recently discussed something about economy/investing with a friend while at work at a slaughterhouse. I really didn't want him to get scammed buying crypto. So, used ChatGPT to find some sources in Somali, a 3 videos with short description why it's worth watching. Intro into investing, intro about cryptocurrencies and about buying them. Had the text shortened down to 3 pretty short paragraphs, not more than twice this post.
He's a smart guy, but only went to primary Qur'an school. Doesn't read or such, mostly consumes internet in form of video/media. He couldn't read those 3 paragraphs, it was too long. Or rather, it wasn't just 3 paragraphs, it was a lot to read.
Maybe we're already dividing into murlocs and the surface dwellers?
Audit trails, logs, and tight data governance where things can only be accessed with proper roles is the only possible solution.
If an RPA team ever gets direct access to a production database in your company, look for a new job.
For anyone else wondering what RPA means. Never heard that abbreviation before.
One day, those may become bigger as they are forgotten, causing havoc. The standard root-cause-analysis depending on systems having certain retention period, which may be expired at that time.
It is important to get real hold of one's systems from end-to-end aspect, which holds true for both AI and human operators...
Depending on what your goals as the author are, you may or may not want that.
Being able to scroll it out of view might be enough to achieve the aesthetics goal, and the goal of people actually listening to you.
I agree with premise of thr blog. The question i have been asking internal does knowing your system really matter if you can recreate it in minutes.
We recently had a situation, where in with our internal platform and claude we recreated everything in minutes.
Management in the end cares about the outcome and not how the meat is made.
Coding via LLM is not similar to using an abstraction. Imagine a car. The controls like steering wheel, the pedals, the gear levers. Those are abstractions.
But using LLMs are like driving using a remote control that has probabilistic behavior. You just loss what it feels to be in a car and you fail to improve as a driver because of the erratic remote control.
An AI can handle routine incidents and then present learning cases from that routine work for training, because the skill in SRE is not the mechanical log grepping, grafana dashboard browsing etc but forming the hypothesis. AI incident reports can create training cases that are a much better training for hypothesis forming and testing than the work itself can.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ironies_of_Automation
Even before layoffs many teams just maintained things org has long lost coherent knowledge of
After layoffs and typical org knowledge churn - you can either rewrite it (but how? Product team responsible for original implement requirements is long gone too) or recoup (reverse document) some of that lost knowledge with AI and actually learn
Also, that paper "The Ironies of Automation" is one that everyone should read. It's fairly short.
There is a related problem in terms of these situations where the computer system is handing off to the human. It's called "the bumpy transfer of control." Very fascinating concept.
Reminds me of the move from on prem to cloud. Linux sysadmins were killed and replaced by aws focused devops.
No, operating software is not like operating a plane. Not at all in fact. The people operating the software and resolving incidents are the same people who created the software in the first place, and continue to work on it day to day. Pilots have not and don't.
The immediate response was "We don't, your updates bring the on prem RMM down for hours at a time, the plane is grounded for maintenence regularly"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ironies_of_Automation
The article itself doesn’t read as AI written.