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Discussion (21 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews
They lost the plot, it's a little too late, but it's new.
Nothing is going well and economically the population is feeling it. I imagine this can’t go on much longer.
If you repeat this same news every time, then you'll eventually be right, yes.
It's not so much when the population feels it, rather the elites who prop Putin up.
At some point those changes might include stopping the war and getting rid of Putin.
I don't think all commentators fall into this trap, but more thoughtful predictions get overwhelmed by those expousing more impactful ideas.
It does seem that Putin has lost something recently, a grip on the hearts and minds of a subset of Russians that previously backed him come what may. The war has been quite static this year, Russia still losing a lot of men, and hardening domestic policy on Internet use. I doubt it's enough for violent protests.
While I understand that the true purpose of sanctions is to weaken a country's military, sometimes I do wonder if it is a war crime as it also ends up effectively "punishing the people".
Every once in a while they get to throw one about the enemy or any world leader out into the world and see if it sticks. Here's the Economist being super worried about Xi's grip on power [1].
[1] https://www.economist.com/china/2025/07/20/xi-jinping-is-gro...
And then I woke up and wondered if it were true ;p
Whereas a few people in agreement about how to direct a widely-recognized figurehead can hang on to power indefinitely and without contention (the latter being potentially costly along many dimensions).