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50% Positive

Analyzed from 242 words in the discussion.

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#scale#conveyor#belts#fund#days#nowhere#near#close#electrification#everyone

Discussion (2 Comments)Read Original on HackerNews

mono442•about 1 hour ago
It still doesn't seem to work all that well for tasks which don't have a short feedback loop.
moezd•44 minutes ago
When manufacturing turned into electrified factories and conveyor belts, there wasn't waves of massive layoffs. And AI these days come nowhere near close to conveyor belts or electrification at scale at all. Debt cycles could fund it to a certain scale, but we don't know our priorities either: Do you fund hyperscalers? Do you fund ex-crypto miner co-location data centers? Do you fund centralized frontier model labs? Do you let everyone be able to deploy these models on any throwaway hardware? What is the best standard for model distribution?

We are so far off from these discussions that AI hype these days really sounds like a couple of frat bros BSing and not knowing what to do with their Ivy League credentials and inheritance money.

delichon•38 minutes ago
> When manufacturing turned into electrified factories and conveyor belts, there wasn't waves of massive layoffs. And AI these days come nowhere near close to conveyor belts or electrification at scale at all.

Nowhere near close, but on the high side. AI has propagated far faster, and is being adopted by a far greater proportion of businesses and individuals than electricity or conveyor belts at a similar age. AI is scaling faster than any tech in history. Exploding may be a better word choice.

slopinthebag•36 minutes ago
Is this not because of the internet and existing infrastructure which didn’t exist during that time?
delichon•32 minutes ago
Certainly AI would scale much more slowly on abaci, and electricity would scale much faster if everyone already was on a pneumatic internet when it was rolled out.
SpicyLemonZest•33 minutes ago
Sure, but that doesn’t by itself mean it can’t be a problem. Maybe the macro scale effects were mitigated by a slow rollout and electrification would have caused an unemployment wave if everyone had done it at once.