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>Imagine being hired as a consultant by the mayor of a fictional city. Your task is to help hire for twenty jobs such as doctors, lawyers, childcare aides,janitors with applicants from four unfamiliar demographic groups: Tufa, Aima, Reku, and Weki. In each round, there is a new job vacancy and four applicants, one from each group, awaiting your decision. Once you make your choice, you learn immediately whether the hire was successful, and move on to the next round. Your goal is to maximize successful hires across 40 rounds, which will be converted into a real bonus compensation
>Crucially, unknown to participants, the odds of success were identical for every group at every job
>In the original experiment, human participants failed to realize that there were no meaningful differences among groups. Instead, they became entrenched in their own successes: once they observed that a Tufa was a good doctor or a Weki worked well as a janitor, participants kept repeating similar choices rather than exploring alternatives. In doing so, they inadvertently built a stratified city of their own making
>Our experiments find that LLMs develop emergent biases as they explore, with frontier models stratifying groups into different job classes at an even higher degree than people.
Anyone would find clustering illusions at these low sample sizes, but the takeaway here seems to be that LLMs are more confident with the initial data that they see and are less likely to chose exploration over exploitation. It would nice to see if these inaccuracies still held over larger N values like 400.
Rather than solve the problem of "why does LLM output slightly stratify between Tufa and Weki like this", I would just not conduct my hiring using this paper's methodology.
Helping regional warlords run clan-aware conscription drives is AI safety research now.https://openreview.net/attachment?id=pc7fqaOcAH&name=origina...
How else is the model supposed to interpret the intent of the prompter, other than wanting them to attempt to find and discriminate on patterns related to the village, regardless of how successful it is at that task?
It shouldn’t be surprised that the model did what it was told to do.
Unfortunately IRL there are lots of signals about a person's heritage encoded into things like their name or what school they went to. You would need to filter all of those signals out to have properly race-blind hiring.
So in the end these signals are going to make it into the AI and the question is whether the AI is going to pick up on those signals and use them when making decisions.
The LLMs take in text which conditions their output. That means even nonsense text - such as a "tribal affiliation" to a tribe that may not have ever existed - ALSO condition the output, because the tribe name is a token in the context window and there's no such thing as a perfectly neutral token.
Taking away the race/ethnicity layer for a moment, it might be that an LLM develops a predisposition to emit positive terms (like "accept") when the prompt contains "banananow", and negative terms when it contains "pearian". That's the very definition of bias, and hacking those biases could give individuals serious socioeconomic benefits!
And given to the lack of training data on such scenarios, surely the activations are mostly random noise?
It seems much more interesting to look for biases that appear robustly across different realistic scenarios that would actually be influenced by the training data
In other words, if the text "X is wet" and the text "Y is wet" and the text "X is dry" and the text "Y is dry" each appeared exactly one time in the corpus, it's still possible for a model to end up being produced that is more likely to write wet-like words when it sees X in the context window than when it sees Y.
On a side note, it's very unrewarding to try to explain this type of statistical observation when it feels like (anecdotally, hypocritcally...) the entire world wants to use words like "think" and "understand" and "pick up on" to describe inference and training processes. I'm not making a stochastic-parrot argument here, just pointing out that understanding an LLM's behavior is best done by understanding its conditioning.
It's almost as though bias-making machinery is embedded in the texts these things are trained on.
It's wild to see quantitative researchers catching even just a glimpse of what culture/media/literary theorists have been swimming in for decades.
The paper makes clear that they used pre-trained, frontier models — in other words, they did not train models on fake data about the fake tribes that would ascribe fake stereotypes to them. There is nothing to suggest that the training data somehow accidentally encoded biases related to fake tribes that the creators of the training data (i.e. ordinary people going about their ordinary Internet lives) somehow accidentally expressed.
There is also nothing to suggest that reading the entire Internet would somehow predispose the reader towards the general idea of being "biased", in the sense that you would have to have in mind to see an actual problem here. But really, the kind of "bias" we're talking about here is really pattern-matching on the available data, which is a big part of what leads people to apply the term "intelligence" to the models. See also the way that people try to make "culturally neutral" IQ tests specifically by having them focus on the ability to infer patterns (e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Raven's_Progressive_Matrices ).
My perennial experience as a machine learning practitioner working in industry is that the ML and statistics folks raise concerns about the models learning social biases that could case real harms, the business folks make sure that this is a career-limiting move, and so the quantitative folks learn not to rock the boat.
For a while (It's getting better with Astra, but still there), a lot of these models would "accuse" you of wishing that magic existed or something, and constantly drawing distinctions to try and "prove" something that nobody ever said.
I think that holding and generating distinctions, when it comes to problem solving, is a very powerful tool. If nothing else, it's a way to force yourself to be adversarial. Conflation is a "damning" operation, while distinctions will at most blow up your search complexity (which, we know from computer science, isn't free, but still).
But it's not a way to build a model, a theory, a society. It's like permanently being the "uhm, actually" redditor.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S187705092...
From 2015: "We investigate the impact of seller race in a field experiment involving baseball card auctions on eBay. Photographs showed the cards held by either a darkskinned/African-American hand or a light-skinned/Caucasian hand. Cards held by African-American sellers sold for approximately 20% ($0.90) less than cards held by Caucasian sellers, and the race effect was more pronounced in sales of minority player cards. "
> As large language models (LLMs) are adopted into frameworks that grant them the capacity to make real decisions, it is increasingly important to ensure that they are unbiased
If the formed bias was against HN usernames that started with “r,” would it still seem daft?
When ppl say there is an absolute truth that we need to stick to, they are slipping in a totalitarian political position and calling it truth. It runs against the whole premise of nature and life, which has rested for 4 billion years on: Alternative competing positions, seeing which one works best.
What I'd like to see is if the LLM would exhibit the same behavior wrt other types of predictive selections. For example, rather than choosing people from four tribes, choosing flower seeds from four packets, or choosing lottery tickets from four machines.
They aren't necessarily a sign of bias in the underlying model however. Many samples would be required for that.
I think we already knew that.
there is a well studied scenario where humans are asked to hire people from four groups. These groups will be judged in their performance on a job and the humans rated on their hiring abilities. Unbeknownst to the human participants, all applicants are drawn from a single skill distribution, with groups assigned essentially randomly. Stastically, all groups have identical performance. Despite this, humans generalize over their early experiences, and develop biases towards specific groups.
While not identical, I relate this to the experience I have playing Fire emblem with random growths. A unit can get lucky and favored early despite being overall mediocre (hello Diamant from my first run through engage).
The researchers recreated this experiment with LLMs, and showed that the LLMs reproduce the human behavior of overgeneralizing early and failing to, as the paper says, sufficiently explore the space[0].
[1]: They instead exploit in the technical sense (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multi-armed_bandit), but exploit based on incomplete information.
Perhaps because there is only a real drawback to doing so if avoidance of bias is explicitly rewarded for some external reason? Like, by definition, if the groups are equal to each other, there's no loss from such exploitation (a larger candidate pool only helps if you have a working screening process, and a same-sized sample across the groups doesn't actually even confer the benefits of a larger candidate pool under the assumptions). Whereas if the observed clustering on a small sample isn't illusory, then ignoring it (or even actively going against it) would be clearly suboptimal. The probability of being actively misled by the clustering is necessarily less than the probability of being led correctly.
Going back to the example, of course bad FE units are less likely to overperform than good ones; that's what's bad about them. (But units can also be situationally good or bad for many reasons beyond their base stats and growth rates. And in FE we can typically directly observe that data and don't have to rely on anecdotes.) So the overperformance you saw was legitimate Bayesian evidence.
LLMs do not make decisions, or hold beliefs. Can we please stop anthropomorphizing the token generator?
Is this a joke?
For example, the b in y=mx+b
As an offset from what the ground truth justifies. Suppose the researchers had decided to load the dice when creating the fake sample data; an unbiased analyst should seek to discover the extent of that, not insist on reporting equality.
I used to despise this kind of thing but it sheds light on the enormous generalization problems that aren't even close to being solved.
Please just go read the abstract; your first reactions to the headline may not be relevant.
https://smalldocs.org/s/6kEgfy54oclH4KR9HX847w#k=ywVL86PcTCo...
It's an interesting result (agents develop biases in their context) which reflects a lot of my experience working with agent, where I observe a lot of, what I kind of call, "context nudging" - where a droplet of an idea in an agent's context pushes its direction/output significantly. When it happens to me it always makes me question the type of intelligence LLMs provide.
[I am the developer behind SmallDocs. Source: https://github.com/espressoplease/smalldocs]
I agree that "context nudging" is a thing. ChatGPT often seems to try really hard to connect ideas back to things I said earlier in the conversation even when it really shouldn't be relevant. But I would call that a matter of "wisdom" more than "intelligence".
I like this description. I constantly notice that how I ask a question strongly impacts the quality and technical merit of the answer I receive which similarly leads me to question any claims of generalization. It should go without saying that they're still incredibly useful tools when wielded properly.