M. Williams, OpenAI: Human extinction in the next few years seems likely

blltprfmnk•about 2 hours ago

I think my counter is relatively straightforward. Economists have said that as of more or less today there has been zero impact from AI. Despite layoffs in tech. I don’t think we go from “no economic impact” to end of humanity in “the next few years”.

talon8635•6 minutes ago

Zero impact seems weird. Aren’t employees at major software companies saying they don’t even write code anymore? I personally know people are Google who say this.

sigmarule•about 1 hour ago

Did the economists’ analysis consider variables like AI-spurred layoffs / job displacement also influencing the metrics being considered? I suppose it would be very hard to do as it’s unclear what subset of layoffs were downstream effects of AI, and I’m sure if I, random guy on HN, thought of it, they, actual economists, surely would’ve too.

In any case, the economics of a doomsday device are probably quite unique.., though economic impact as a proxy for intelligence and intelligence as proxy for likelihood-of-annihilating for some bands is probably a fair way to approximate here…

doener•about 3 hours ago

Sorry, wrong link: https://xcancel.com/Marcus_J_W/status/2098078076299366684

ChiperSoft•about 2 hours ago

Possibly, but more likely because of the ravaging weather events as gas powered data centers churn out more emissions in four years than the last fourty

vlod•about 2 hours ago

>Unless there is AI regulation or a coordinated slowdown between labs, human extinction in the next few years seems very likely

Sigh, no explanation of how this would occur (even after multiple questions on that thread).

It's starting to sound like hot air and frankly tiresome. I want data worksheets.

rvz•about 2 hours ago

It is bullsh*t.

Just say that you need the IPO money to build yourself a bunker.

If it was a true danger, then instead you would have supported pausing AI and an international governing body to halt the development globally (including China) right now.

But you didn't. Because someone needs to complete their grift first before dumping shares on retail investors.

M. Williams, OpenAI: Human extinction in the next few years seems likely

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